The course of events in the war between Ukraine and Russia may significantly affect the future situation with the participation of China and Taiwan. If Ukraine defeats Russia on the battlefield, this could be a signal to China that a military invasion of Taiwan will not bring the desired result.. This was stated by former Special Representative of the United States Department of State for Ukraine Kurt Volker in a conversation with TSN journalists..

According to the diplomat, China is now closely watching the developments in Ukraine and is waiting for the results of the war.. It is important for Xi Jinping to understand whether Putin's forceful method of seizing the territory of a neighboring state will work.

“China is watching to see if Russia succeeds in the war against Ukraine. Because the success of Russia will mean that open aggression, the seizure of territory, the change of power - it works. And the West does not oppose it. China will get the green light to do whatever they want with Taiwan, because the West does not stop them and does not prevent regime change, the seizure of territories,” Volker said..

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The diplomat notes that China will not openly support Russia in a war of conquest, as the local authorities perceive Ukraine as an independent state.. As for Taiwan, the PRC considers it its territory, so the approach to hostilities there will be significantly different.

“It is important that China does not want to destroy Taiwan, as Russia is doing with Ukraine. They want a rich Taiwan, not a region that will be a problem for them.

It is not beneficial for China that the situation with Taiwan is compared with Ukraine, this gives us the opportunity to dialogue with China,” Volker added..

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Earlier it was reported that Xi Jinping does not plan to consult with Putin about the tense situation in Taiwan..

Both the conditional " What are today's unions? Who, with whom and against whom is friends? And what awaits the world after the outbreak of the third world war, even if so far only a hybrid? Sergey Korsunsky discusses this in the article “The Alliances that Putin is Building”.