According to the Center for Public Opinion Research GallupInternational, the rating of US President Donald Trump fell to a record low in June. His work is dissatisfied with 58% of Americans (in April-May this figure was 50 - 56%), support the head of the White House, only 37% of respondents.

The fall in the ratings of the newly elected US presidents is quite a frequent occurrence, but the speed with which Trump's rating has fallen makes his case exceptional, said Eduard Soloviev, head of the IMEMO RAS policy theory sector. In many respects this situation is a consequence of, among other things, the active information anti-Tramp campaign in the main American media, the difficulties with the formation of the government, the vagueness, and sometimes even contradictory signals coming from different members of the Trump team (whose unity is also in question).

"As a result of the fact that Trump is a non-system player who got into the politics from outside, the processes of forming a clear political line within the country and in foreign policy proved to be difficult. Still, government is not the management of a family firm, and Trump seems to have already felt this difference. In fact, he has a steady number of adherents among the Republicans, there is no serious and deep collapse in the support of the republican electorate, 80 to 90% of whom, according to various estimates, continue to support him. But in general, the fall in the ratings is obvious, "said the analyst" Utru ".

The critical mass of scandals around the US president has led not only to the collapse of the ratings, but also to some subsidence of business activity indices, which is an unpleasant symptom of the loss of trust in part of the business community.

Some spectacular foreign policy combinations are hardly possible to raise the rating, the expert emphasizes - and this was clearly demonstrated by Trump's Middle East blitz trip. Obviously, it was assumed that multibillion-dollar agreements on the purchase of US arms with Saudi Arabia and the announced plans for the creation of a Middle Eastern NATO would contribute to the growth of its popularity in the country.

But the ratings went down. To correct the situation with another foreign policy adventure, Trump is unlikely to succeed. The plot with the DPRK is very risky, a serious large-scale military operation will put Seoul, the capital of South Korea, one of the closest US allies.

"Everything else has already been tried - both in Syria and in Mosul, where they are stuck. Maybe they will make additional efforts in Afghanistan, but they also do not promise any spectacular telegenic victories (remember the beautiful entry of American troops into Baghdad under Bush, or, even under Clinton, landing somewhere on the "wild shore" of Somalia). Nothing like this now can not be - the world is full of long-standing conflicts in which the US has long been stuck. Something started with the assault of Rakki, the "capital" of the IG, but it is not yet clear how successful and fleeting this operation can be, there is conflicting information on this account, "- said the interlocutor" Utra ".

The eternal theme of the Russian threat, too, is not able to help, because on the anti-Russian hysteria that has reached its limit, points are gained not by Trump, but by senators - old "sworn friends" of the Russian Federation (both Democrats and Trump Republicans). To improve the image of the president himself it does not work. All the decisions made in the Congress to tighten sanctions, all commissions to investigate the relationship between the president and Russia are working against Trump and his possible attempts to somehow restructure or at least normalize relations with Russia, the analyst said..

Thus, there is no foreign policy reserves to raise the rating - rather, it is time for the head of the White House to reflect on the internal political mechanisms of consolidating the society. Winning elections using an obvious deep split in America is one thing, but now other decisions and actions are needed.

However, even here the American president is not easy. Pre-election declarations - a wall with Mexico, statements about Muslims and t. - Support the commitment of Trumpu voted for him Republicans, but do not play on the consolidation of society as a whole, rather, deepening the existing split. How this could be played, and what could become a unifying moment for the nation, it is not yet fully understood.

"It seems that Trump has no recipes for overcoming this split, and his foreign policy activity, to put it mildly, does not always unite America. Trump supporters are getting stronger in the opinion that he is pursuing a tough line with the allies, demands to take into account the interests of America, to make a financial contribution to fulfill obligations, including within the framework of NATO - for Trump voters these are important issues. But this not only does not reduce the oppositional sentiments of his opponents, but, on the contrary, strengthens them, because, from the point of view of Trump's opponents, all this leads the country to disaster, including foreign policy,. So the unifying agenda is not yet possible, "the political scientist said..

However, to say that Trump's political career is close to collapse is also quite premature. Impeachment is a complex procedure, it requires specific charges, which still need to be proved - but Trump, accustomed (as well as any American businessman) to sue and win in the courts, his lawyers and a political team certainly will find answers to ill-wishers.

In addition, the US president is not only chatting on Twitter - he also consolidates around him certain groups, in particular, the military-industrial complex and the military. Part of the interest groups, despite the lack of a stable political base, continue to actively support it. That is, Trump needs to build new connections in a new environment for himself, consolidate new groups, somewhere it turns out, somewhere there is not. But the scenario that he will "resent" and resign (which count not only Democrats), but "his" in the board "for the establishment of Vice President Mike Pence will serve as president - so far from the field of fiction.

"I think Trump's opponents will not wait. Trump is a narcissistic personality, and until there is a feeling that he will slam the door and leave when he gets bored. He will bend his line, and opponents will have to come up with something more convincing than "collusion with the Russians" - to launch the impeachment procedure and the more so to remove the president from the Oval Office on the basis of unfounded accusations is almost impossible, "the analyst concluded..