In case of failure with the construction of the Kerch bridge in the occupied Crimea, Russia can begin active military operations against Ukraine in order to lay a land corridor to the peninsula.

About this in his blog on the "Observer" wrote a senior fellow at the Institute of Euro-Atlantic Cooperation in Kiev, German political scientist Andreas Umland.

In his opinion, this development of events is likely to lead to a large-scale and protracted Russian-Ukrainian war along the northern shores of the Azov Sea.

"In this case, Kiev is unlikely to help in resolving this issue, which can push Moscow to consider military methods to achieve its goal. Considering that by the present moment the Ukrainian army has become rather efficient, this development of events is likely to lead to a large-scale and protracted Russian-Ukrainian war along the northern shores of the Azov Sea, "Umland writes..

According to him, this can entail very significant consequences not only for Ukraine.

"Perhaps, as a result of the war, the already weakened hryvnia will depreciate even more, which will lead to an even greater impoverishment of the already extremely poor Ukrainian population. This, as well as other consequences of a full-scale war for Mariupol, Berdyansk, Melitopol and t. Can provoke Ukrainian mass emigration to the EU through the "green" borders of Ukraine with Poland, Slovakia, Hungary and Romania (or other routes). It may happen that hundreds of thousands of people will decide to flee from a knowingly losing war and impending poverty. Such a massive movement of the population in addition to the war itself can lead to the fact that the Ukrainian economy and, as a consequence, the Ukrainian state as a whole, may lose their functionality. This development of events can even more intensify the crisis of the refugees flocking to the EU because of the millions of Ukrainians fleeing from the growing chaos in their homeland, "the political scientist writes..

In addition, Umland noted, in the event of such a scenario, one of the main issues for the European Union will be the fate of four nuclear power plants in Ukraine.

"By that time, however, the main problem for Brussels will no longer be refugees.

Instead, the question is what, in this course of events, will be with the four nuclear power plants of Ukraine - first of all, with the largest nuclear power plant in Europe located in Zaporozhye - t. In the vicinity or even inside the likely war zone. It turns out that we all should hope that geologists and engineers of Russia will be able to find a way to build this damned bridge across the Kerch Strait. ", The political scientist summed up.

As reported by the "Observer", the astrologer announced the forecast about the fate of the Crimea and the Kerch bridge.

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