The threats of US Senator John McCain to seek new ways of sanctioning pressure on Russia are quite typical for this policy of air shaking and are unlikely to be realized in the near future, Russian experts are sure.
The desire of Senators McCain and Graham to adopt as soon as possible a bill to impose new sanctions against Moscow, allegedly for its "influence" on the American elections and "interference" in the affairs of other states, The Weekly Standard and a number of other Western media.
Russian analysts, for their part, point out that although the idea with new sanctions is not original, it's not easy to comment on McCain ".
"McCain participated in all anti-Russian initiatives, made a political career in consistent Russophobia, on the thesis that Russia is a dangerous political opponent, and it must be combated in all possible ways, including by applying economic sanctions or supplying weapons to Ukraine. It is difficult to expect that overnight there will be some fantastic change, and he will suddenly take a more balanced position - nothing like this will happen. And McCain is not such a one there. Such initiatives will continue - not on this matter (interference in elections), so for others. And this is quite fashionable. I would compare this to the manifestations of anti-Americanism in Russia, where many gain points in a similar way, appear as patriots who pronounce politically correct things. We have Zhirinovsky with his position, also not the last person in the political hierarchy. With McCain, the same story, "- said" Utro "head. Sector Policy Theory IMEMO RAS Eduard Solovyov.
So the options in the US can be considered long and hard, but everything will depend on the further development of Putin's contacts with Trump and a healthy part of the Republican Party, the expert believes..
The main problem, he said, is that, unlike China, connected with the United States by a huge mutual economic interest and having an internal lobby in the United States, Russia does not have this. "A significant number of the same Republicans are willing to lobby implicitly for the consideration of Chinese interests, but there is no group that somehow would be willing to lobby for Russian interests - including, because we have scant economic ties, and over the last decades between Russia and the United States remained an element of confrontation and competition. As a result, it is very easy to make a career in anti-Russian statements and initiatives without encountering a special opposition from the Senate, "the analyst believes..
Anyway, the new anti-Russian initiatives are unlikely to be fatal for Russia until there is some serious aggravation in Russian-American relations as a whole. Currently, there are no prerequisites and grounds for alarmist sentiments - rather, on the contrary: interesting compromises are being made in Syria, the situation in Ukraine is suspended. Consequently, it is unlikely that in these circumstances McCain will be able to push through some new initiatives,. By sanctions.
In the case of a sharp deterioration in bilateral relations, the ideas of McCain and his associates will be quite in demand, admits the analyst. The question of what could lead to such a scenario is purely hypothetical: a cause for concern for Russia could be, for example, a serious complication with Iran, for which the United States still adhere to a unambiguous tough approach. First of all, it concerns the nuclear problem, the situation in the Middle East, the position of Israel with its traditional support by the Republicans. "If there are difficulties with Iran, depending on the Russian reaction, some new ideas may be thrown in, maybe even sanctions," notes Soloviev.
However, since there is also enough demagogy in world politics, to expect an aggravation precisely because of the current Russian position on Iran (which is of concern to the Israelis), again, it is not worth it. "Some new enterprises may be listed, but I do not think that something radical will happen," says the political scientist..
The most radical scenario would be a complete failure of interaction with the United States on Syria, but judging by the latest events, it is unrealizable. Expectations now, rather, with a plus sign than with a minus sign, emphasizes Eduard Solovyov. But even if in the future, purely hypothetically, in the worst cases everything goes wrong, America will not be able to "drown" Russia with its sanctions..
"What can she do?
Everything she could, in terms of more or less obvious measures, she has already done, but to calculate our response to some further measures (the results of these impacts, the trends that these actions will push inside the country, the reaction of the Russian leadership ) Is very difficult. Therefore, I do not foresee escalation measures on the part of the United States. They can fantastically and creatively, but they are quite rational people. For the current sanctions, basically, Europe is paying, everything else is fraught with costs and unpredictable consequences already for the States themselves, "- concluded the interlocutor" Utra ".