Representatives of Ukrainian business worsened expectations for the dollar exchange rate. According to their forecasts, in the next 12 months it will reach the level of 44.42 UAH/dollar, whereas previously expected 43.72 UAH/dollar.
This was announced by the head of the Verkhovna Rada Committee on Finance, Tax and Customs Policy Daniil Getmantsev (“Servant of the People”). He noted: there is nothing catastrophic in business forecasts, because the average annual exchange rate included in the 2025 state budget is 45 UAH/dollar.
" – Ed. ) business worsened expectations of the average hryvnia exchange rate in the next 12 months to 44.42 UAH/dollar (versus 43.72 UAH/dollar in the previous quarter). In general, business expectations are very close to the government forecast of the average exchange rate budgeted for 2025 at 45 UAH/dollar,” the statement says..
In addition, Getmantsev noted, business has worsened its inflation expectations. Thus, its representatives predict that in the next 12 months inflation will reach 10.3% - while a quarter earlier (July-September 2024) it was expected to be 9.7%. At the same time, the people's deputy noted:.
“We’ll see how it will be in a year.”.
However, the NBU will definitely not sit waiting for a further imbalance in inflation and currency expectations. Moreover, while annual inflation is in an uncomfortable ambiguous range (i.e.. more than 10%),” Getmantsev summed up.
In turn, the National Bank updated the official dollar exchange rate as of January 21 to UAH 42.16. What's 3 kopecks?. exceeds current.
However, recently the official exchange rate has dropped noticeably. In particular, on January 10 it was at a record level of 42.28 UAH.