In the food market of Ukraine, there is a steady upward trend in prices for almost all food products, however, one of the market segments will experience such a jump in prices already in the current winter-spring period that its products will become inaccessible to citizens with low incomes. This forecast was announced by the head of the pricing and agricultural market department of the National Scientific Center "
According to the scientists of the Institute, in the first quarter of 2022, a further increase in prices is expected - depending on the type of vegetables - by 15-25% compared to prices at the beginning of this year. At the same time, the cost of borscht in January 2022 was already more than 2 times higher than in January last year..
Prices for greenhouse vegetables in Ukraine may rise sharply in the winter-spring period of 2022. The price jump is supposed to be so tangible that for a large number of Ukrainian consumers - with a low level of income - fresh tomatoes, cucumbers and peppers will be practically inaccessible during this period, Inna Salo noted..
[see_also ids\u003d"
The price in the consumer market of potatoes has remained almost stable over the past five months. However, given the trends of past years in the winter-spring months of 2022, a further increase in the price of potatoes is expected - up to 35%..
According to forecast estimates by scientists from the Institute of Agrarian Economics, in the first half of 2022, the upward trend in prices for the main types of meat - beef, pork and poultry - will continue by at least 15-20%.
The average price of 1 kg of bread today is about UAH 30.65, which is 23% higher than last year. In the near future, the share of the cost of energy resources in the production of bakery products will increase from 5-7% to 15-20%. Taking into account the inflationary factor, this will lead to a further rise in the price of bread and bakery products by 10-25%.
A gradual seasonal increase in the selling price of sunflower seeds is expected, which will affect the growth in the price of sunflower oil. According to the scientists of the Institute of Agrarian Economics, by August 2022 this type of agricultural products can rise in price within 20% - up to 75 UAH/l.
It is expected that the consumer price for buckwheat groats may grow by 15-20% and exceed 65 UAH/kg, for barley groats – by 10-12% (18 UAH/kg), for millet – by 10-15% (20 UAH/kg)..
[see_also ids\u003d"
Consumer prices for pork have undergone the least changes, the scientist noted. At the beginning of January 2022, the price for it increased by 6.8% compared to January 2020 - up to 123.75 UAH / kg.
The consumer price for lard increased by 19.8% compared to 2020 and amounted to UAH 90.24/kg.
Most of all - by 26.6% - prices for poultry meat increased during this period. Currently, a chicken carcass costs 70.82 UAH/kg.
[see_also ids\u003d"
According to Inna Salo, the rise in prices is caused by a number of factors.. First of all, this is a government increase in electricity tariffs from January 2021 due to the abolition of the feed-in tariff (+36.6%), water supply (+10.9%), drainage (+17.3%), higher energy prices,.
The increase in costs in these areas forced manufacturers to increase the cost of food products. Consequently, the inflation index in the consumer market of Ukraine in 2021 doubled to 10%.
There was an increase in retail prices for vegetables of the borscht set in the trading network, the expert noted. In particular, in early January 2022 against October 2021, the price of potatoes increased by 1% (UAH 8.76/kg), white cabbage - by 54% (UAH 12.09/kg), onion - by 26% (.
The fall in global oilseed production in 2020. led to a rapid increase in world prices for sunflower oil and meal, which was reflected in the domestic food market of Ukraine, where the price of sunflower oil increased by 85%. At the beginning of January 2022, it cost an average of 61.43 UAH/l.
At the beginning of January 2022, buckwheat groats increased in price by 27.6% - up to 47.77 UAH / kg, barley - up to 15.80 UAH / kg (+ 21.7%), millet - up to 18.42 UAH. This trend will continue.
[see_also ids\u003d"
According to the expert, for some time a sharp rise in consumer prices may be restrained by the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine " 04. 2020 No. 341 and amendments to it dated December 30, 2021. According to the provisions of the document, the maximum level of the trade allowance cannot exceed 10% for a certain list of " However, before the stabilization of energy prices, it is too early to talk about a final solution to this problem..
Recall that among the stream of negative promises and forecasts, there are also positive ones.. So, according to the head of NJSC Naftogaz of Ukraine Yuriy Vitrenko, after the end of the current annual gas contracts for domestic consumers on April 30, 2022, Ukrainians will be offered new annual contracts, moreover, prices are likely to be lower than the current ones..
On December 31, 2021, the Minister of Agrarian Policy Roman Leshchenko signed a memorandum with producers of socially important food products to stabilize prices for natural gas of own production.
The document limits the margin on gas produced in Ukraine at the level of 25%.
Among the industries that should fall under the order is the production of wheat flour (classifier of types of economic activity (KVED) - 10. 61), pasteurized milk (KVED - 10. 51), rye-wheat bread (KVED - 10. 71), chicken eggs, poultry (chicken carcass) (KVED - 10. 12) and sunflower oil (KVED - 10. 41). That is, the production of food products of significant social significance.