The growth of the dollar stopped until spring

22 October 2018, 11:59 | Economy
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The Russian ruble has accumulated a good margin of safety, so negative external factors are not afraid of it. This is the conclusion reached by analysts of the American investment company JP Morgan.. According to their calculations, while you can not twitch - the dollar in the Russian Federation will remain at the level of 65.5 rubles. at least until March. Western experts recommend not focusing on the currencies of other developing countries in this regard: the national currencies of Turkey and South Africa, for example, will continue to fall. The ruble also has its own safety cables: the high cost of oil, the Central Bank’s temporary rejection of foreign exchange interventions and the country's good macroeconomic indicators. "The budget surplus in January - September amounted to 3.5% of GDP, or more than 2.5 trillion rubles. External debt dropped to $ 490 billion with international reserves at $ 460 billion, ”Andrei Kochetkov, senior analyst at Otkritie Broker, confirmed to RIA Novosti news agency. Against this background, the "hellish sanctions" of the United States, as Bloomberg christened them, will not hit the ruble too much.

Despite the fact that Washington threatens to impose restrictions on cooperation with state-owned banks in Russia, a ban on dollar operations is not expected.. And the ban on foreigners buying new issues of Federal loan bonds is not a big problem. It is not excluded that when declaring new sanctions, the ruble will fall to 70-73, but will soon return to the range of 63-65 per dollar, the head of the customer service department of Zerich Capital Management Sergei Korolev is convinced.




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