The powerful strengthening of the ruble, which was observed the day before, on Tuesday August 14, pleased the Russians, but did not deceive investors. The market just reacted to external short-term factors, such as the suspension of purchases by the Finance Ministry of foreign currency within the budget rule and the beginning of a new tax period. Domestic export companies should send to the treasury about 1.8 trillion rubles. , so they massively exchange dollars and euros for national money. In this situation, of course, the ruble rose in price. But it's not for long. Prospects for the ruble are associated with two factors - the cost of oil and the outflow of non-resident capital, the "Rossiyskaya Gazeta" quotes the analyst of the social network for eToro investors in Russia and the CIS, Mikhail Mashchenko. If the US Federal Reserve still raises the rate, investors will prefer the dollar to the currencies of countries with an increased risk.
Russia, given the sanctions related to government securities, is just a very risky asset.
Thus, with the outflow of foreign capital and the reduction in the cost of oil to at least $ 68. For a barrel, the ruble will fall to 72 per dollar, analysts say.. With a favorable situation for the Russian Federation, the ruble will be able to hold positions. But at a level cheaper than 62.5 rubles. For $ 1 you should not count - it's not in the interests of the regulator, the expert is convinced. The official rate set by the Central Bank on Wednesday, August 15:.
66.75 per dollar and 76.23 per euro.