The Russian currency market continues to fever. On Friday, August 10, the ruble began to win back losses of the last two days. To 13. 00 Moscow time on the Moscow stock exchange for $ 1 gave 66.69 rubles. , whereas the day before it cost more than 67 rubles. According to experts, this is due to the fact that the first emotional reaction of the market to the new American sanctions was. "In the coming days, the ruble may stabilize below the level of 66 per dollar, while high oil prices remain," the Russian newspaper quotes Daria Zhelannova, an analyst with Alfa Capital,. But even at such a value of currencies, Russians should expect an increase in prices and, accordingly, the level of inflation. This can not be hidden even in the Ministry of Economic Development. The August survey of the ministry says that in the second half of the year inflation will accelerate by 0.2-0.3%. , and in annual terms this is about 3.1%.
While the July forecast of the Ministry of Economic Development indicated a bar in 2.5%. However, analysts believe that the greatest negative impact on inflation in Russia will not be American sanctions, but the hot summer-2018. The crop failure has already led to an increase in world wheat prices, which entails an increase in other food prices. In addition, in Russia since the new year, the VAT rate will change from 18% to 20%. This is also a factor that plays against financial stability.