The Russian currency remains under the strongest influence of geopolitical news. No matter how strong the domestic economy was, alarming rumors about the expansion of sanctions lead to depreciation of the ruble. Saves in this situation a reliable and proven means - high prices for hydrocarbons. On the eve of "Russian" again cheapened to major world currencies. The dollar rate in the course of trading on the Moscow Stock Exchange grew by 54 kopecks, to 63.04 rubles. The cost of the euro rose by 36 cents, to 73.51 rubles, according to the website of the trading platform. "The US dollar strengthened throughout the market on the eve of the announcement of the US Federal Reserve decision on rates against the backdrop of an increase in the yield of 10-year US Treasury bonds above 3%," the analyst of Alpari, Vladislav Antonov, commented on the exchange rate dynamics (his words are quoted by Prime). In the coming days, the ruble exchange rate may continue to decline. Financial analyst of the company BCS Premier Alexander Taraskin predicts a possible negative impact on the ruble of geopolitical tensions related to the discussion of new sanctions, including against the Russian national debt. With him agrees with the analyst of the Criminal Code "Ingosstrakh-Investments" Valentin Zhurba, reports "Rossiyskaya Gazeta". Russia has a stable positive account for current operations, and the main vulnerability to the ruble is Western sanctions, the exact time of expansion is impossible to predict, says the expert.. Nevertheless, he said, they will continue to have a negative impact on the national currency. Another negative factor for the Russian currency is the rising dollar. The last six months the market has established a trend to strengthen the "green" relative to all other currencies against the backdrop of high growth rates of the US economy and increase the profitability of the US national debt. "American assets recently looked more attractive than all the rest, so the cash flows go to the US, thereby raising the dollar. Simultaneously - due to the increase in rates from the Fed - the dollar liquidity in the world financial system is declining, "notes Zhurba. First of all, it affects the developing countries, which in recent years have increased the dollar debt. Money from them flows out first, which negatively affects the exchange rates of national currencies. The influence of trade wars is also being preserved. "Traders also drew attention to the news that US President Donald Trump instructed to increase the duty from 10% to 25% on Chinese goods in the amount of $ 200 billion.
Escape from risks will increase pressure on the domestic currency, "- said Antonov. The last hope of the ruble remains high oil prices.
The situation develops in such a way that in the coming year a sharp fall in its value is not expected. And this means that throughout this time the ruble will continue to have a serious supportive factor. Today, according to experts, the ruble will continue to decline.
The value of the dollar at the end of the day can reach 63.3 rubles, the cost of the euro - 73.85 rubles.