Hopes for a settlement of the political crisis in Italy and high oil prices had a strong support for the Russian currency. On yesterday's news, the ruble strengthened its positions, and it is likely that its policy will continue to go up today. On the trading session on the Moscow stock exchange on May 30, the "Russian" increased by 74 kopecks against the dollar and by 4 kopecks against the euro. As a result, the value of the American currency was 62.07 rubles, the European currency - 72.37 rubles. The price for Brent crude oil increased by 2.8% on the eve of reports that OPEC will keep oil production limitations at least until the end of the year. Previously, representatives of Saudi Arabia said that the positive effect of reducing production has been achieved, prices have risen, and therefore one can gradually abandon the limits. In the same vein, representatives of the Ministry of Energy of the Russian Federation. After this, the prices for black gold rushed down, but now we again went into growth. At the moment, black gold is traded at a price of $ 77.44 per barrel. Consequently, and the Russian currency is gaining weight. In Italy, political forces that have made their way to parliament can not form a government in any way. As a result, the country is in danger of repeated elections, as a result of which Eurosceptics can come to power with a high degree of probability. As a result, due to investors' concerns, there has been a significant deterioration in sentiment in global markets. Players began to sell Italian bonds, because of which the yield of two-year debt securities rose to 2.5% per annum. Sovereign debt of Italy is the third largest (after the US and Japan), and if the bonds issued by Rome depreciate, then with the entire European economy there will be a collapse. However, yesterday there were the first positive news: the party "Movement of 5 stars" urged Paolo Savona to withdraw his candidacy for the post of Minister of Economy, so that it would be possible to find a compromise and form a government. As a result, the euro began to grow in price. The general strengthening of the European currency pushed the dollar. He fell in price to both the European and the Russian currency. In addition, statistics on US GDP growth and trade balance turned out to be worse than expectations, which also led to a weakening of the US currency. If there are no cataclysms in Europe, oil will remain in its current positions, and geopolitical tension will not intensify, the Russian currency expects a fairly cloudless future. The most serious risk remains the situation in Italy. "The hope so far is only that the political crisis is resolved as a result of the actions of Italian politicians. And Italy will remain in line with the European monetary policy.
The appointment of new elections will introduce greater uncertainty into the future of the Italian economy and will further weaken the euro and exacerbate the crisis, "- said asset manager ICBF Alexei Fedorenko. In the coming days, sharp jumps in the rate are expected neither in either direction. Trade in the dollar / ruble pair will be in the range formed in the last two weeks - 61.5-62.8 rubles. The euro / ruble was stuck in the range of 72-73 rubles, and so far there is no reason to go beyond that, experts say..