Moscow and Washington have united against the ruble

24 April 2018, 15:25 | Economy
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The exchange rate of the Russian currency in the foreseeable future is unlikely to return to the level of 58 rubles for $ 1. However, the most "American" is waiting for difficult times. It can easily resume its decline relative to other world currencies. At today's trading on the Moscow Stock Exchange, the ruble feels quite confident. As of 12:36 Moscow time, the dollar lost 14 kopecks, the euro lost 20 kopecks. The value of the American currency was 61.66 rubles, the European currency - 75.22 rubles. "European" cheaper the second day in a row, but the dollar was on the eve of the plus, but the ruble today has every chance of catching up. On Monday, April 23, oil fell a little after the confident growth, and the Bank of Russia actively bought foreign currency for the needs of the Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation. These two factors led to the weakening of the ruble. Today, the Russian currency is multidirectional factors. On the one hand, companies and banks buy dollars and euros to pay off foreign debt. On the other hand, exporters purchase rubles in connection with the onset of the next tax period. Therefore, where the curve displays the ruble at the end of the day, experts say it is difficult. Concerning the more remote perspective of the ruble, the opinions of specialists also vary. "No matter how high oil climbs up, the ruble will remain under pressure in the near future. The dollar / ruble pair will keep the upward movement, "- says analyst of Alpari company Vladislav Antonov. "I agree that this year we are unlikely to see 58 rubles per dollar. But what will happen next is difficult to say, since there are geopolitical threats - in a negative course, and serious reversals in international politics exist, as, for example, with North Korea. Perhaps there will be a turn in the relations of peace with Russia. This is a plus, "believes Professor of the Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation Boris Kheifets.

In his opinion, a good indicator for the national currency for the near future will be stabilization at the level of 60-61 rubles. Do not forget that the Russian authorities are not particularly interested in the expensive ruble. Therefore, even if on objective indicators "wooden" will aspire to 58 rubles, the Central Bank and the Ministry of Finance will strengthen currency interventions to prevent this. With the current scenario, foreign exchange reserves are accumulated for the payment of debts, both state and companies, Heifets noted. The threat of geopolitical instability has slightly shifted to the background, which positively affects the value of the Russian currency. But if Washington again starts a speech about sanctions or a new missile strike will be struck against Syria, investors become nervous and thereby overturn the ruble. Meanwhile, experts predict that the dollar can hit the turbulence belt. The last three and a half months, the US currency was in the same range. Most likely, the way out of it will be on the principle of "straight spring", reached the maximum reserve of effort for the jump. However, after the rapid growth of the dollar expects a rebound down. The market for the most part has already started to play against the dollar. More and more countries avoid investments in US debt obligations.




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