The panic of investors due to the introduction of sanctions against the defendants of the "Kremlin report" led to the collapse of the Russian stock market and the exchange rate of the Russian currency. But the fall of the ruble is inadequate to the circumstances, say experts. In the near future we should expect a rollback to the previous positions.
Therefore, meanwhile, with the purchase of currency should be delayed. On Tuesday, April 10, the scenario of the previous day was repeated:.
the ruble depreciated again. For the day the dollar jumped in price by 2.36 rubles, to 63.02 rubles. The euro has risen in price for 3,15 rubles, to 77,85 rubles. Hopes that the decline in the national currency will slow down did not materialize. In a total of two days, it lost almost 5 rubles of its value in relation to the dollar and almost 6.5 rubles to the euro. Holders of Russian securities continue to sell off their assets and immediately change the proceeds of rubles to dollars and euros. The situation could be slightly reassured by another auction of the Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation on the sale of government bonds, but it was canceled. The fact is that the yield of debt securities jumped from 7% to 7.6% per annum, and the agency decided not to overpay. There are no objective reasons for the rapid growth of the dollar: in the whole world its value is decreasing. Therefore, the collapse of the ruble - a purely emotional phenomenon. In the coming days, everything will return to normal: the foreign currency will roll back to the levels that have become habitual in the last 15 months. "There is a disparity in the size of the panic about. And we can assume that the current peaks at 63.88 rubles per dollar and 78.7 rubles per euro - or the final, and higher exchange rates will no longer be. Or they can be updated by the end of the week for another ruble and a half, at the expense of another round of purely emotional movement. Then the dust begins to settle, "- believes the chief analyst of the TeleTrade Group Peter Pushkarev. Both the Russian business and the population of our country are constantly in anticipation of the occasion to start buying up foreign currency. The current decline is not the best reason. Even those who need dollars and euros for the May holidays, it is better to wait a day or two to wait for a certain decrease in the exchange rate of foreign currencies. The euro should fall to 74 rubles, the dollar - to 60. If the currency is needed by the summer, it is better to wait for the middle of May. If a foreign trip or a large purchase for a currency is planned for autumn or winter, you should hold the rubles longer. Oil from last week increased in price by $ 2.5 per barrel and climbed again to $ 70. By the end of the year, the price of black gold could reach $ 75. So, the dollar exchange rate this year is also likely to return to the level of 58 rubles. However, the problems of the Russian economy may be much more profound than it seems at first glance. The imposition of sanctions against large Russian companies, which, in particular, directly interact with the US market, was the starting point for the reassessment of all Russian risks. "If earlier extreme sanctions - the disconnection of banks from SWIFT or the ban on operations with the Russian national debt - seemed something incredible and close to fantasy, then today they are no longer behind the horizon. This is practically the reality of tomorrow, "believes Oleg Buklemishev, director of the Center for Economic Policy Research at the Faculty of Economics of Moscow State University. His words lead "Newspaper. RU". According to the expert, the country is in real danger of crisis. Much depends on the dynamics of events and the actions of the authorities. "Badly calculated actions will lead not to improvement, but to deterioration of the situation with citizens, the budget, the economy as a whole," concluded the expert..