The ruble will be slightly stormy

12 February 2018, 10:35 | Economy
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The Russian currency continues to become cheaper relative to the dollar and the euro. Since the beginning of the month, the dollar rate has grown by 2.5 rubles. Analysts believe that the weakening of the "wooden" in the coming days will slow down somewhat, but it will not stop. At the auction on Friday, February 9, there was a small correction, that is, the ruble slightly played back the lost positions. On the last day of the week on the Moscow Stock Exchange, it strengthened by 2 kopecks. against the dollar - up to 58.4 rubles. - and 5 kopecks. against the euro, to 71.46 rubles. The Bank of Russia Friday's decision to reduce the key rate by 0.25% (to 7.5%) had virtually no effect on the ruble exchange rate (although by all rules it had to weaken slightly). The decision was expected: the Central Bank carries out a predictable policy of gradual reduction of the rate. But what really can affect the fluctuations of the exchange rate is oil quotes. After a decline last week, black gold began to appreciate again. In the near future, its value can rise to $ 64 - 65 per barrel. In this case, the dollar will fall to 57.5 rubles. , the euro - to 71 rubles. Support the ruble and the fundamental indicators: the national economy is growing, government bonds are in high demand among investors. But these positive factors can easily be interrupted by news of commercial reserves and oil production in the US, which will be released on Wednesday, February 14. If the forecasts are confirmed that the Americans have increased production, then oil could collapse to $ 61 per barrel, and the ruble in this case will fall in price. The situation with the possible impact of US sanctions on the stability of the Russian currency remains uncertain. "You can breathe out a little - the unnecessary risk that drove the state bonds and the ruble disappeared, disappeared. But also it is not necessary to relax:

the US Treasury Secretary Stephen Mnuchin recently said that the United States will continue to expand sanctions against Russia in the future, "Roman Tkachuk, a senior analyst at Alpari, explained,. In the coming weeks (at least until the presidential elections in Russia), a sharp collapse of the national currency will not happen. But fluctuations in the exchange rate can be very noticeable. "World markets are storming now, the geopolitical background is troubled. In such conditions, investors may prefer a proven quiet harbor - the US dollar, "- said the expert. This will reduce the relative value of the ruble.




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