The US Treasury was afraid to impose restrictions on purchases of federal loan bonds of the Russian Federation. Thus, the main threat that has been hanging over the Russian currency in recent months has passed,. However, this did not lead to the strengthening of the ruble. He continues to bargain at his usual level.

At the same time within a month or two "wooden" a new storm is expected, experts say.. This will happen for natural reasons. "We do not expect a significant fall in the ruble exchange rate. But the correction for currency pairs of dollar / ruble and euro / ruble is unequivocally ripe, "- quotes the newspaper. ru "opinion of the head of the analytical department of the Grand Capital Sergei Kozlovsky. Alas, the Russian currency is not self-sufficient. Strong strengthening of the ruble in the last 2.5 months is a consequence not of the strength of the ruble, but of the weakness of the dollar.

It becomes cheaper to all world currencies, first of all - to the euro. The US and EU economies are struggling with each other. Each of them has its own strengths and weaknesses, but so far the duel is not in favor of the dollar. As a result, the ruble again reached local highs against the dollar, explains the general director of the company "Mani Fanny" Alexander Shustov. It seems that the US authorities will not impose sanctions on Russian federal loan bonds. However, globally for the ruble this will not change anything. The fact is that such expectations (although they seemed too optimistic) are already included in the current quotes. They will not be able to move the national currency upward. "The ruble will begin to weaken as the presidential elections approach, which are a great stress for all financial markets:.

participants hope that the status quo in the political arena of Russia will continue, but they are not sure of this completely, "Shustov noted.. Other stress factors for the Russian currency are dependence on the price of oil, the deficit of the pension fund, the continuation of sanctions and the ineffectiveness of the bureaucracy. Therefore, there is every reason to believe that the dollar by the end of March will exceed the bar in 60-62 rubles. The purchase of American currency below this threshold for long-term investment analysts consider justified. This is exactly what the Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation is doing, translating, according to the budget rule, into the American currency all the additional revenues from the export of hydrocarbons and putting it in reserve funds. The financial authorities of our country do not doubt that the dollar will noticeably rise in price on a period of 3-5 years.

Follow the example of the Anton Siluanov department can and ordinary Russians: buying dollars in reserve is an excellent insurance against the devaluation of the national currency. The US seriously intends to break out into world leaders in terms of oil production. Expensive oil and a decrease in extraction by the OPEC + countries give the Americans all the trump cards in their hands. The risk of reducing the price of Brent crude oil is very high, and this can drag the ruble down after it, says Amarkets leading analyst Artem Deev. "In the coming days, the dynamics of exchange rates on the Moscow stock exchange will be determined by the conjuncture of oil prices, the general mood of the international foreign exchange market relative to the US dollar and the demand for next issues of OFZ.

According to the aggregate of incoming data, the ruble may weaken against the dollar even against the backdrop of the absence of sanctions from the United States, "points out the currency strategist of the TeleTrade Group Alexander Egorov. The problem of the ruble is that its rate is at its maximum since April last year. For further growth, really serious reasons are needed, and they are not, believes Mikhail Mashchenko, an analyst of the social network for eToro investors in Russia and the CIS. He does not doubt that in the near future the US currency can easily jump from the current 56.5 to 58 rubles for $ 1, and further the future seems very vague.