In January, real wages of Russian residents recorded a record increase over the past four years. Such data are given by the Ministry of Economic Development of the Russian Federation. In the past year, the salaries of Russians after the deduction of inflation, according to Rosstat, increased by 3.4%. The Ministry of Economic Development explained that this happened "including due to a reduction in inflation to a record level and an increase in pay for certain categories of employees in the public sector at the end of the year".

In the basic government forecast for 2018 g. reflects expectations of a record increase in real wages. It should be about 4%. This will be the best indicator for the period 2014 - 2018. After the growth of 4.8% in 2013, the real wages of the population in 2014 increased only by 1.2%, in 2015 they decreased by 9% at once, and in 2016 they added 0.8%, notes "Independent newspaper".

But the MED also indicates that significant improvements Russians should have already felt in the first month of the year. "Seasonally smoothed index of real wages will exceed the previous high of 2014 by the end of January," the ministry said..

However, the joy about the rapidly growing salaries will be short-lived. The government expects that next year the growth of well-being will slow down sharply - about three times. In 2019 year. real wages should increase by 1.3%, in 2020 - by 1.5%.

Experts admit that wage dynamics really improve, but they refrain from overly optimistic forecasts. According to the director of the expert group Veta Dmitry Zharskiy, the so-called record growth can be explained by the effect of the low base, which was a crisis crash.

"The highest rates will grow salaries in defense enterprises - I think that by 4-5% per year, on par with inflation. In the industry there will be separate centers of growth associated with a shortage of personnel, possibly in the field of coal mining and metal production, "- said a specialist.

"We observed a continuous small increase in wages during 2017. In 2016, the dynamics was rather near-zero, but not negative, "- said Head of Analytical Business Solutions HeadHunter Natalia Danina. According to her, if there are no new economic shocks in the world and Russia, then "wages will continue a small forward movement". Nominally at the end of the year, average earnings will grow by 5%, and the real figure will depend on the size of inflation.

Danina proposes to refer to the current figures not as a "record growth", but as a logical rebound after a sharp fall in 2014-2015. "To the level of salaries in 2014. in real terms, we have not even come close, that's why it's too early to be surprised and surprised, "the expert said..

Yulia Maltseva, general director of the In Job recruitment agency, agrees that this year the incomes of workers can grow, not only thanks to fixed salaries, but also from bonuses, bonuses and additional payments. But in the geographical and sectoral sections, the growth was, and will be, uneven.

On a noticeable increase can expect only sales, development, project management, attracting customers and business, as well as IT professionals and engineers.

In the election year, economists also expect a significant salary increase in state employees. But if you do not take them into account, then, as researcher of the Institute for Social Analysis of the Russian Academy of Science and Technology Viktor Lyashok notes, the increase will depend on the whole from economic growth, from the successes of specific sectors and even enterprises that, in case of positive trends, can increase bonuses for employees.