The ruble rate after rapid growth at the beginning of the month decided to settle down. As a result of yesterday, the "wooden" calculations "tomorrow" grew by 14 kopecks against the dollar and by 6 kopecks against the euro. As a result, the value of $ 1 was 56.35 rubles, for 1 euro on the exchange gave 69.29 rubles. On Wednesday, January 24, trading on the Moscow Stock Exchange opened multidirectionally.
The dollar continued to fall in price, the euro also played yesterday's losses. After that, the rate of the Russian currency began to decline. By 11 o'clock in the morning the ruble fell to the US currency by 5 kopecks, to the European - by 20. So far, the exchange rate fluctuations occur within a rather narrow corridor of 56.2-56.8 rubles for $ 1 and 68.85-69.55 rubles for 1 euro. This continues for the ninth day. For the established borders, the Russian currency does not come out. Therefore, in advance to bury the ruble should not be. By the end of the trading session, its value may return to yesterday's figures. Analysts note that at the moment economic news has ceased to have a significant impact on currency pairs. Lateral movement (fluctuation of the course within a small range) of the ruble in pairs with the dollar and euro is observed despite the general weakening of the US currency, the tax period and rising oil prices. All these factors should push the ruble upwards, but this does not happen. The potential of these news has already been exhausted. The American currency also weakly reacts to external stimuli, the expert notes.. The dollar almost did not win back reports of the resumption of the work of the US government, although this should lead to a significant correction in the rate. Do not lead to a rebound in the dollar and a number of positive news about the US economy, as well as a number of promising verbal intervention by representatives of the Fed. Perhaps this is due to the fact that now the dynamics of the US currency is determined to a greater extent by news from other financial capitals and the actions of world central banks. So far, economic news has a positive color for the Russian currency, says Alpari analyst Vladislav Antonov. The US dollar came under pressure amid a decline in the yield of the ten-year summer bonds of the Federal Reserve System. Experts with Wall Street believe that his sale caused a decision by the administration of US President Donald Trump to impose an import duty of 30% on a number of goods from China. At the same time, the yield of Russian OFZ rises on the eve of the next auctions, which the RF Ministry of Finance will hold tonight. Can the ruble resume its movement up, it will be known by the evening. Risks for the ruble are concluded in the likely decrease in the cost of oil.
According to the published report of the American Petroleum Institute, the reserves of raw materials in the United States were much higher than the expected level. If the data is confirmed by the US Energy Ministry, black gold may fall in price, dragging a ruble.
Now for 1 barrel Brent is $ 69.8, and the cost is gradually decreasing. The further trend of the ruble rate will be clarified after concretizing the package of sanctions adopted by Washington. In the worst case scenario (if the restrictions are of an institutional nature), the ruble may noticeably lose value.