On the first day of the working week, the ruble rate closed against the growth of foreign currencies. At the auctions on the Moscow stock exchange the dollar lost 22 kopecks and stopped at the level of 56.49 rubles. Euro sank by 15 cents, dropping to 69.22 rubles. After yesterday's confident growth today, "wooden" will not dwell on what has been achieved. The national currency will continue to rise, financial analysts are sure. At the opening of trading, the dollar fell 12 cents, the European currency - 15 cents. All significant factors play on the side of the Russian currency. The US currency continues to show weakness on global trading floors. The negative dynamics of the dollar is given by the Saturday decision on the temporary suspension of government activities. It was adopted after the congressmen failed to pass a bill on its temporary financing. On Monday, government agencies partially resumed work, but the sediment remained. Meanwhile, the cost of a barrel of oil again exceeded $ 69. The price of black gold creeps up amid reports of a reduction in the number of operating drilling rigs in the US. This was also facilitated by the recommendation of the OPEC monitoring committee not to revise the agreement on limiting production to the end of this year and the statement of Oman's Minister of Oil and Gas Mohammed Hamad al-Rumhi, who did not rule out that OPEC + members for 2019. can conclude a new agreement on the reduction of oil production on other terms. From purely Russian factors, the ruble is in high demand for federal loan bonds. The threat of a ban on operations with Russian debt securities by the US authorities does not frighten foreign investors. They still prefer to invest in this reliable and profitable tool. The increased demand for the Russian currency creates an approaching peak of tax payments. From January 25 to 29, domestic companies pay VAT, MET, excise and profit tax, and therefore actively change their foreign currency earnings to domestic monetary units. In the current conditions, the national currency has not the slightest chance to go for the bar 57 rubles per $ 1 in the next few days. But then the ruble may fall under the crossfire. On the one hand, the Ministry of Finance and the Bank of Russia can start implementing their plan to weaken the ruble in the interests of the budget and exporters. On the other hand, the dollar may begin to emerge from a protracted pique.
To this will be added an announcement about the introduction of new sanctions against the Russian Federation, which, if unfavorable, could significantly weaken the ruble. In addition, you should not discount the possible negative news for the ruble, which may come this week from the central banks of the EU and Japan. Regulators may decide to abolish soft monetary policy. This will lead to a reduction in inflation expectations and the strengthening of the yen and the euro against world currencies, including the ruble.