A sharp weakening of the ruble rate should not be expected in the coming months, despite the fact that the majority of Russians are sure of the opposite. According to a poll conducted by the All-Russia Public Opinion Research Center, about 61% of citizens believe that in three months the US dollar will cost 63 rubles, and about half of the respondents (49%) have no doubts that in a year for $ 1 it will take as much as 64 rubles. Sociologists say that by building forecasts, people are guided by the current course, reports "The newspaper. RU". "For about a year the actual rate is less than 60 rubles for $ 1, and the public consciousness persistently calls 63-65 rubles for $ 1. Thus, Russians are inclined to consider the current ruble exchange rate somewhat exaggerated and expect it to be weakened, "says VCIOM leading expert-consultant Oleg Chernozub.
Financiers, unlike ordinary people, say the ruble has a prosperous future. Most of them suggested that in the near future the national currency will be strengthened. Even before the end of this week, the dollar may fall to the level of 57.5 rubles, believes the deputy chairman of the board of "Loko Bank" Andrei Lushin.
The exchange rate stability of the ruble will be promoted by rising oil prices. Soon, its price can overcome the mark of $ 70 per barrel. At today's auction, black gold has risen in price to $ 64.34 per barrel (this is the maximum since summer 2015. ), which led to a depreciation of the dollar to 58.47 rubles, and the euro - to 67.6 rubles.
The cost of oil has been affected by several factors. First, the growth of quotations helped the anti-corruption scandal in Saudi Arabia, during which four active ministers, dozens of former ministers and 11 princes were arrested. Among them was a member of the board of the oil company Saudi Aramco, the former head of the Ministry of Finance of the Kingdom of Ibrahim al-Assaf. This, according to experts, created an "alarming situation" in the market.
Secondly, prices inflated reports of a possible prolongation of the OPEC + agreement and a reduction in oil production. Over the past week in the US, there are eight operating production units. Thirdly, information on debt problems in Venezuela and the development of the military conflict in Nigeria and Northern Iraq influenced.
In general, oil is becoming more expensive for the fourth consecutive week, and there are no prerequisites for changing this trend yet.
In addition to oil, the ruble will also help the intention of the RF Ministry of Finance to buy foreign currency on the domestic market from November 8 to December 6 in the amount of 122.8 billion rubles. Now the ruble has all chances to "consolidate" against the background of the lack of significant publications on foreign markets and stability in the domestic market, analysts of Rosbank summarize,.