In the next three years, Russian pensioners will have to tighten their belts even more tightly. The forecast of social and economic development of the country provides for a significant reduction in social security. The disappointing conclusions are published in the expert opinion of the Higher School of Economics (HSE) on the amendments to the budget of 2017.
HSE experts suggest that the forecast in question will provoke the intensification of some dangerous trends in the sphere of pensions.
"Under the Baseline scenario, insurance pensions in real terms after a decrease of 6.1% in 2015-2016 will grow by 1.4% in 2017 and fall by 0.2% in 2018-2020," RNS Excerpts from the document.
In this scenario, real pensions by 2020 as part of the laid-down indexation will grow no more than 1% of the level of 2016 - will not recover after the crisis and will not be able to grow.
"The level of pensions in real terms in 2020 will remain 5% lower than in 2014," experts noted..
Economists also noted that the ratio of the average insurance pension to the subsistence level of an elderly person in 2017-2020 will continue to decline. In three years this indicator is 159%, for comparison, this year 162%, while in 2012. It reached 181%. Experts also note that the measures laid down by the Ministry of Economic Development for indexing old-age benefits will lead to the impoverishment of pensioners.
Previously, government officials promised the Russian pensioners a different future. So, just two high-ranking officials - Deputy Prime Minister Olga Golodets and head of the Pension Fund Anton Drozdov assured that the pensions will raise to two subsistence minimums.
True, this will happen, not earlier than 13 years later.
"In accordance with the strategy for the development of Russia's pension system, we plan to reach two subsistence minimums by 2030," Drozdov assured..
"We adopted a strategy for the development of the pension system, which says that we should soon retire equal to two subsistence minimums of the pensioner," Golodets confirmed.. "This is 16.4 thousand rubles in today's conditions, this is our nearest promising figure," the Golodets specified..