Trump's visit to China: what to expect amid the blocked Strait of Hormuz

Today, 07:21 | Peace 
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News from the USA. Tuesday, May 12, 2026 Trump’s visit to China: what can be expected against the background of the blocked Strait of Hormuz and the unresolved Iranian nuclear problem The 47th president went to China. Taking with him a whole group of ministers - from finance to defense, the secretary of state, executives and owners of the largest American companies.

I obviously set off in a different mood and frame of mind than I had intended.. He went, repeating as a mantra several times over the past few days on regular TV shows for journalists, that he “has an excellent relationship with President Xi”, that “President Xi is my friend”.

Trump postponed his visit by a month, hoping that he would come to Beijing as a winner, having secured Iran to abandon its nuclear program and unblock the Strait of Hormuz..

Flying to China on Tuesday, the 47th president told reporters in response to a question about rising inflation that he was not interested in the financial state of the United States, but that he was only concerned about preventing Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons.

But neither during active hostilities from February 28 to April 7, nor during the month during which Trump postponed his visit to China, nothing changed in the situation with Iran. The war resulted in the Strait of Hormuz being blocked by Iran.. This was not prevented either by the fact that the United States sank many Iranian warships or by the fact that it destroyed most of the Iranian military aircraft. Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff General Kaine was unable to clearly answer Democratic Senator Durbin's question in the Senate on Tuesday about how Iran managed to block the Strait of Hormuz.. Pentagon chief Hegseth avoided answering a question from Democratic Senator Coons about whether there is a military plan to unblock the strait. Meanwhile, as before the start of the war on February 28, almost 500 kg of uranium enriched to 60% continue to remain at Iranian underground nuclear facilities. This is enough uranium to create several nuclear bombs. 10 remain there. 5 tons of uranium enriched to lower levels. Iran has shown no signs that it is going to negotiate with the United States to remove this uranium from the country and shut down its nuclear program.

Of course, Trump will discuss the Iran issue with Xi. And Xi Jinping will likely remind the 47th president that in 2018 he tore up the JCPOA agreement, according to which Iran stopped its nuclear program for 10 years, pledged not to create nuclear weapons and opened its nuclear facilities to continuous monitoring by IAEA inspectors. And that Iran accumulated all the uranium enriched to different levels - almost 11 tons - after 2018, after Trump tore up the JCPOA agreement. At the time of its rupture, Iran had only very small reserves of uranium enriched to 3%, which was allowed by the agreement.

It is difficult to say whether the 47th President will find any solution with the help of Xi Jinping. On the one hand, China itself is suffering from the blockage of the Strait of Hormuz.. He bought 90% of the oil exported by Iran (this is 30% of the oil imported by China) and received almost 30% of the imported liquefied gas through the same Strait of Hormuz. The Chinese economy is also suffering from high oil prices and related high prices for all types of fuel and energy, like the economies of all developed countries. But on the other hand, Iran is an ally of China. And Xi, naturally, cannot help but rejoice at the weakening of the United States, the undermining of US authority in the world, and the complicating relations between the United States and its main and traditional allies. Nobody knows where the balance point will be for the Chinese communist dictator in this matter..

Trump, by the way, is no coincidence that he calls Xi his “friend” and emphasizes the “excellent relationship” with the General Secretary of the CPC Central Committee. The 47th President treats all dictators with reverence. But he has a special reverence for Putin and Xi, since he considers them his only equal “strongmen”, and dreams of the same unlimited and eternal power. It is important to note here that Trump differs in this regard from the American right and far right, which consider China the main geopolitical enemy of the United States. American liberals, by the way, are of the same opinion. But here's an interesting thing. There is only one fundamental discrepancy between the Republican program “Project 2025” and the US National Security Strategy, the official document defining the administration’s foreign policy, published in December 2025. " And the National Security Strategy assesses China completely differently. According to this official document, the United States can easily coexist with China, trade with it and cooperate with it, if China does not oppose American interests, which, according to the Strategy, consist largely of the ability to sell American goods in different regions of the world.

What else will Trump and Xi talk about Obviously about trade. It was no coincidence that the 47th president took an entire delegation of the American business elite to China. It is no coincidence that the preparations for the visit were mainly carried out by Finance Minister Bessent. At the start of his second presidency, Trump tried to force Xi to use tariffs to buy more American goods.. But I lost completely in this trade war. Xi blocked the export of rare earth minerals to the United States, stopped buying soybeans, which began to hurt the American farmers who grow them - an important part of Trump's electoral base. The 47th retreated, and it was after this that he sharply warmed up verbally towards China, began calling Xi a friend and repeating that he had “excellent relations” with him.. It is likely that some kind of trade agreement will be concluded following the visit. Perhaps about unfettered US purchases of rare earth minerals, about China's increased purchases of American soybeans, about China's purchase of Boeing aircraft.. In exchange for something from the American side. For example, for the complete abolition of customs tariffs.

It is also obvious that we will talk about nuclear weapons. On China's participation in negotiations to limit it. But it is equally obvious that it will not be possible to agree on anything here.. China refuses to negotiate on its nuclear weapons until it has as many nuclear weapons in its arsenal as the US and Russia (about 1,550 each in operational readiness, compared to about 600 for China, according to US intelligence estimates). According to the Pentagon, China is going to increase the number of its nuclear warheads to 1,000 by 2030, and then, within a few more years, will be on par with the United States and Russia.. It is unlikely that China will agree to negotiate on limiting nuclear weapons until then..

Xi will likely ask Trump to change the language of US policy towards Taiwan. As David Sanger notes in the New York Times, the United States has traditionally formulated its policy using the phrase “The United States does not support Taiwan's declaration of independence,” and Xi Jinping would like to change this wording to “The United States opposes Taiwan's declaration of independence.”.

Another topic that will be discussed is the use and development of artificial intelligence systems, as well as cyber espionage. Topics are very important. Moreover, cyber espionage can be carried out today using artificial intelligence systems. It’s hard to say whether it’s possible to agree on anything in this area.. Depends on the level of experts participating in the negotiations.

The fact that the use of artificial neural networks needs to be regulated has no doubt in my mind, as a specialist in this field. So far, the only institution in the world taking the first steps in this area is the EU, which has adopted an Artificial Intelligence Law that is binding in all 27 EU countries, which, however, will be introduced gradually over the years.

And I don’t think we should expect any big results from Trump’s trip to China in any case.. The 47th president is not in a political position where he can achieve something from the real main geopolitical enemy of not only the United States, but the entire free, liberal-democratic world.

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Ukraine is and will forever be.

And evil will be overcome and punished. І tse immediately.

Источник: Обозреватель