After the announcement of the first anti-Russian sanctions of the Donald Trump era, it turned out that many oil refineries in the countries of the “global South” that had until now purchased Russian oil began to reduce orders even before the sanctions took effect. And this is not just about India or Turkey - their caution was just predictable. We are also talking about China, writes Vitaly Portnikov for Vilni-media.

The following is the text in the original language. This behavior of oil refineries is simply predicted by experts, who said that India and Turkey will survive until the sanctions against Rosneft and Lukoil, and China will not be able to mark them - so.

However, the experts were working on their secrets and were diving into evidence of failure to comply with the latest American sanctions imposed by the Joe Biden administration against other Russian companies – “Surgutneftegaz” and. The impact of these sanctions was even more serious, but the results were disappointing. Russia was able to bypass the “shadow fleet” or intermediary firms without any particular problems. And as a result of obligations, the supply of Russian oil to the edges of the “global Oil Day” increased, but did not change. From this! In fact, these experts wanted the Trump administration to better enforce sanctions that had already been imposed, and to create new ones..

However, you need to understand that Trump’s first sanctions are not the same as Biden’s remaining sanctions. The new administration has no particular concerns about how to comply with sanctions against Surgutneftegaz and Gazprom Neft.. First of all, because they wanted to demonstrate the hopelessness of the Biden administration - every day we all feel that this is Biden’s war, not Trump’s. And, in another way, Trump is actively believing in his good relationship with Putin. And there will be a reconciliation that will give the Russian president comfort of mind and the fire on the Russian-Ukrainian front, the war will immediately begin. Finally, Putin’s “nightmare” is due to the supply of oil?

Then the situation changed radically, Trump himself moved to put pressure on Putin in order to pressure the Russian president until real changes were made before the end of the war. And anyone who tries to circumvent Trump’s sanctions can be seen as a special enemy of the American president, who respects his peacekeeping forces.

One of the first proofs of this was the discovery of the Salvation States for the resale of shares of the now sanctioned Lukoil to the Gunvor company, the leader of which is one of the closest oligarchs to Putin, Gennady. Putin tried to play Trump with his beloved game in thimbles - and got it right. Although there are many people in Moscow who are still chanting that the “renaming” of “Lukoil” to Gunvor will all be intertwined.

This is a serious confrontation with Timchenko – and, therefore, with Putin – and is a signal not only for Moscow, but also for Beijing, New Delhi and Ankara. What can be valid sanctions, what is not hot, what will be effectively punished for their violations. This means that Russia can effectively reap a significant share of its energy income in the coming months. What did they say the gas station was closing?.

It’s important, everyone, so that this “negro” from Putin is played correctly by Trump himself. After the trip of the Ugric Prime Minister? From Prime Minister Viktor Orban to Washington, this change from Trump made it clear that for the Ugor region (and therefore for Slovakia, since there is one oil refinery plant on both sides) to cut off the river. The motives for such a decision are clear - the American president wants to betray his old friend and help him win the parliamentary elections. As a result of this, Orban still has serious problems, and if the price of Russian oil continues to rise, there will be no chance of burning. Although it is clear that if there is a chance to cancel the shutdown, others may also be affected by it. And that’s why it’s true and that’s the main reason – if “dear Victor” can buy Russian naphtha, then maybe we won’t have anything.

On the other hand, these are clearly not the remaining sanctions of Donald Trump. The American president continues to believe that a healthy soul can and his Russian colleague can handle the fire.. Ale Putin is clearly not in tune, Trump himself knows that the Russian president does not hesitate.

Well, there will be new sanctions. This can only be done with a cob vice.