What after the war? 7 + 1 competitive advantage of Ukraine

14 March 2023, 11:55 | Policy 
фото с Зеркало недели

Despite the complexity of the situation at the front, the destruction of infrastructure, the occupation of large territories and the fall of the economy, the issue of the revival of Ukraine after the war is already before society and the authorities. Actually, the concept of “after the war” is very arbitrary, since in any variant of the end of the hot phase of the confrontation, the “cold phase” will inevitably begin - a long coexistence next to a potential aggressor.

Such a state will require a complete change in the paradigm of building the state and its institutions, the transformation in the public mind of the concept of " To do this, it is necessary first of all to determine what unique features and unique advantages Ukraine has in the modern world..

The philosophy of freedom is the foundation of Ukraine.

Due to the natural and geographical features of the territory in which we now live, the condition for survival on it at all times was the struggle for our freedom.. In this sense, our current situation is no different from the one in which the Scythian or Slavic tribes lived, so that the philosophy of freedom formed in the Cossack era became the basis of both the Cossack state of Bogdan Khmelnitsky and modern Ukraine..

This is what radically distinguishes our country from others that were formed with the collapse of the USSR - Russia with its numerous " Democratic-minded citizens of these states, especially ethnic Ukrainians and Russians who do not agree to live in the authoritarian and dictatorial regimes of their countries, are a demographic reserve that can be useful to our country. It is necessary to adopt a law on dual citizenship and actively involve such people in work and life in Ukraine.

Human Potential.

Since 1990, the United Nations Development Program (agencies within the United Nations) has been issuing a report on the state of human potential in the countries of the world, which is expressed in the Human Development Index (HDI). It has three components: life expectancy as an indicator of the health of the population; level of education (average length of study); gross national income per capita (with some correlation - in comparable prices, the coefficient to which is determined rather artificially). In the 2022 report, Ukraine ranks 77th and belongs to the category of countries with a high HDI, but in terms of education we are ahead of more than 30 countries with a HDI above ours, and we are ranked 45-47th out of 191 countries of the world.

Ukraine has the world's best school of programmers, developed rocket and aircraft industries, a powerful military-industrial complex. Science researcher Yuriy Khramov counted 122 scientific schools in Ukraine in 2008 - Mykola Amosov, Mykola Bogolyubov, Oleksandr Bogomolets, Viktor Glushkov, Yevhen Paton and others.

Despite all the problems of the period of independence in the field of science and education, their high level has been preserved, so it is necessary to create an intelligence industry in Ukraine as a kind of perpetuum mobile, a system that creates a “raw material resource” in itself, and we will get an inexhaustible potential for development.

A special national phenomenon is a Ukrainian woman, she has been in the center of Ukrainian society since time immemorial as the basis of the Ukrainian family.. From the pagan Mokosh to the real Princess Olga, the leading role of a woman in Ukraine is decisive, but... underestimated. First, only a Ukrainian woman could burn the princely ambassadors alive, and then the whole of Iskorosten with the help of sparrows, in order to avenge the death of her husband.. At the same time, Olga was both the state builder of Rus' and the first Christian princess.. The elimination of any form of gender inequality will dramatically increase the human potential of Ukraine.

World logistics hub.

Ukraine has a very favorable geographical location. A developed system of airports and railways allows Ukraine to become a global logistics hub along the axes of the Far East-Europe and the Middle East-Northern Europe. In terms of the length of the railway network, Ukraine ranks third in Europe - 19,787 km, of which 9,319 km are electrified. Some inconvenience is associated with a different gauge compared to the European one, but the technology of “changing shoes” for cars is very simple, and the only question is the number of “changing shoes” stations.

The country has 25 international airports, 21 airports of mixed use - passenger and / or military, 8 official military air bases and another 25 airfields for various purposes. (For comparison, there are only 14 major airports in Poland.

30 motor roads of international importance (connecting with international transport corridors) with a total length of 9331 km, 33 more national roads with a length of 7175 km run through the territory of Ukraine, and this entire network is constantly being improved. The elimination of corruption schemes at customs, in Ukrzaliznytsya, the State Aviation Service and Ukravtodor can increase traffic volumes by several times.

Reformed local government system.

The territorial reform of the organization of state power and local self-government, accompanied by financial decentralization, is coming to an end in the country.. From 2014 (the beginning of the reform) to 2019, the own revenues of local budgets (without transfers from the state budget) quadrupled - from UAH 68.4 billion to UAH 300 billion. These are new (unseen)! ) opportunities for the development of rural, settlement and urban territorial communities.

Unfortunately, the third final stage of the reform has slowed down - a clear distribution of powers both between central, regional, district state authorities, and with local governments. There is no balanced system of state supervision over the latter. There are problems with the district level and the availability of services in communities. All this needs to be resolved if the government really understands the value of reform for Ukraine.. Now the office of the president and the Cabinet of Ministers have gone for the absolutely illogical and unjustified destruction (de facto) of the Ministry of Regional Development and the resignation of two key deputy ministers, who, in fact, were the implementers of the decentralization reform.

The development of the territories should be based on the trend towards the creation of powerful regional centers - quasi-capitals in their macro-regions, they should equalize the opportunities for the comprehensive development of the economy, culture, education, human potential of the regions in comparison with the capital. For cities, the obvious prospect is the development of agglomerations based on cooperation with the surrounding territorial communities, as Kyiv is trying to do now.. The relevant legislative framework for this was developed back in 2014.. It is obvious that today on the agenda is a new - adequate to the current conditions - regional policy.

Klondike Natural Fossil.

Ukraine, occupying 0.4% of the earth's land, where 0.8% of the world's population lives, has 5% of the world's minerals in its bowels. Yes, our country has the largest in Europe (second in the world) reserves of manganese ores, the largest reserves and resources of titanium in Europe, the third largest reserves of iron ore in the world (11-15%), the fifth reserves of mercury in the world. In our bowels there are significant reserves of ores of other precious and non-ferrous metals - gold, silver, copper, aluminum, beryllium, zirconium, molybdenum, strontium and many others.. Ukraine has coal reserves, which are enough to provide industry and energy for many years to come.. We also have huge reserves of oil and gas, but their production under the current market conditions is irrational, this is a reserve for future generations.

In Ukraine, there are explored deposits of lithium ores, which are not inferior to the rich deposits of the USA, Canada and Africa. Their extraction can become the basis for the development of the battery industry, without which the development of the industry of electric vehicles, wind and solar energy is impossible..

Complicated permit procedures, small-town selfishness and ubiquitous corruption have been a barrier to exploration and production of minerals throughout the years.. Overcoming only these sores will turn minerals into a powerful magnet for attracting foreign investment, which will help the extractive industry to reach a new level..

Ukrainian lands.

It is well known that Ukraine is the largest country in Europe in terms of area (the borders of Europe in historical times passed exactly along the eastern borders of Ukraine), and 60% of our territory is occupied by black soil, this is a third of the world's reserves..

The climate and plains of Ukraine (95% of the territory) make our lands extremely favorable for agriculture. In pre-war 2021, the export of agricultural products amounted to 41% of the all-Ukrainian - $ 27.8 billion. USA. These are mainly cereals, fats and vegetable oils, finished products in this volume (with higher added value) accounted for only 14% (finished feed), so the agricultural processing industry has a very high potential for growth..

A 25% reduction in sown area in 2023 due to a large-scale Russian invasion, paradoxically, may eventually have a positive effect - the land will rest. Another phenomenon of the food industry should be noted: during the war, it showed its extreme resilience in all segments - both in production, and in logistics, and in retail.. The disappearance of products, which the Ukrainians were so afraid of in the first days of the war, did not happen, of course, they have risen in price, but they do exist.! Whereas in other military conflicts known to us, hunger has always become their “co-product”.

The authorities need to realize that the land is our real wealth, and to stake on the development of the middle class in the countryside - farming. We must learn how to rationally use our wealth ourselves, and not sell it to our land oligarchs or Western, Russian, Arab, etc.. Otherwise, the rural population is threatened with marginalization and extinction..

Industry, power industry and defense industry.

Mining and processing industry accounted for 15% of GDP in 2021. This is slightly less than the share of agricultural products - 17%, the other components of GDP account for much less.. Despite the raw material nature of the Ukrainian industry, its infrastructural capabilities remain significant, as evidenced by the success of high-tech enterprises — SE Antonov, PJSC Motor Sich and others..

The mentioned companies are part of the country's military-industrial complex (DIC), which, as a result of this war, has all the prerequisites to become the world leader in the production of weapons and dual-use products. The secret of success may lie in the fact that on the world arms market the cost of products produced by a belligerent country or in service with a manufacturing country increases several times compared to " Open sources provide a list of one hundred defense industry enterprises in Ukraine. It is clear that now the number of such enterprises is much larger, and this is a huge potential for the future..

Thus, the defense industry can become the largest and most profitable industry in Ukraine, but subject to the entry of private business into it, as is the case in the United States, Israel and other countries.

The electric power industry, which was a powerful industry even before the war, despite its inherent " So, subject to its restoration and taking into account the high price of electricity in Europe, the industry can make very good money on exports..

The eighth competitive advantage is the Ukrainian army.

The course of life is determined, rather, not by banal patterns, but by unexpected paradoxes.. No one in the world expected the miracles shown by the Armed Forces of Ukraine and all the Defense Forces on the battlefield. Taking into account the " A country that should actually become militarized, and based on this, the rest of the components of the state should be constructed. The needs of the army must form an effective education system, and the development of industry, and an uncorrupted system of government (this is a dream! ) and provide work or service for millions of Ukrainians. After all, living under the protection of a strong army is much calmer, isn't it

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Источник: Зеркало недели