A new military-technical analysis by an expert in radio technology and the connection between Sergei Flesch highlights a critical imbalance in the pro-tibalist duel between Ukraine and the Russian Federation. The expert has analyzed the level of production, the rate of serial production and the accumulated stockpiles of Russian ballistic missiles against American PAC-3 missiles for Patriot systems.

Vartisna and virobnica disproportion: PAC-3 against "

According to Sergey Flesch, the main reason for protecting Ukrainian places is not only the technical complexity of the transfer of ballistics, but also the uneven economic and industrial capabilities of the parties.

The formula for the pro-Tibalist duel looks like it's coming in numbers:.

Economic balance (price): One 9M723 ballistic missile for the Iskander-M complex costs the Russian Federation $2–3 million, an anti-aircraft missile for the S-400 complex (as a Vikorist enemy for strikes along a ballistic trajectory) — $1–2 million, and. At the same time, the cost of one PAC-3 MSE kinetic interception rocket is no less than $4 million. So the price of defense is worth the price of attack.

Industrial pace (production per month): The aggressor's military-industrial complex is currently producing approximately 70 units of Iskanderivs, 50 units of missiles for the S-400 and 4 to 7 Zirconiums (yield up to 125–130. The current rate of production of PAC-3 missiles at Lockheed Martin plants in the United States is about 50–60 units per month, which does not cover the monthly production of hostile missiles.

Warehouse stocks and decisions: Licensing and acquisition from NATO reserves.

The total accumulated stocks of ballistic "

Since the exact rate of PAC-3 production in the United States does not physically keep up with the Russian conveyor, Sergiy Flesh speaks of two equally possible ways to close the ballistic deficit in Ukraine:.

Negain the transfer of missiles from the obvious warehouse stocks of the allies: Obtaining missiles from a 4-thousandth light reserve for the transfer of self-propelled guns "

Laryngeal production of licensed Patriot missiles: Launch of licensed production of PAC-3/PAC-2 based on the efforts of the European military-industrial complex (located within the initiatives of the Anti-Balistic Coalition).

The matrix of the pro-tibalistic balance is equal (starting at the beginning of 2026).

This structure characterizes the key indicators of defense mathematics.

Rocket/Complex display.

Defend the attack of the Russian Federation (“Iskander-M” / S-400).

Zasobi zakhist ZSU / NATO (Patriot PAC-3).

Orientation level 1 missile.

$2–3 million (“Iskander”), $1–2 million (S-400).

No less than $4 million for PAC-3 MSE missiles.

Rate of production per month.

70 od. (“Iskander”) + 50 ods. (S-400) + 4-7 (“Zircon”).

50–60 units per month (USA plants).

Exact warehouse stocks.

200–300 units (“Iskander”).

4,000 – 5,000 units (NATO World Reserve).

Key tool for installation.

Vlasny Military Industrial Complex of the Russian Federation.

PURL mechanism ($6.7 billion), derived from allied reserves.

HiTech Expert Take: importance is critical PURL.

Sergiy Flesh’s figures for the month-long shortage of PAC-3 missiles directly explain why the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine is so actively scaling up the international PURL (Prioritized Ukraine Requirements List) program.. Receipt of $6.7 billion from 29 Ukrainian partners allowed Ukraine to take away nearly 95% of all Patriot overshooters directly through this mechanism. The remaining American factories produce only 50–60 PAC-3 per month, and the overall survival for Ukrainian places is deprived of the production of missiles from the apparent 5,000-strong stockpile of NATO countries for financial support.

The disproportion between the cost of $4 million for PAC-3 and $2 million for Iskander suggests a parallel development of the asymmetrical contour. In order to protect themselves from mass-produced liquors of the “Shaheds” and the developed fish of the Russian Federation, they may completely switch to the cheap hammed SHI-spitting tanks “Cyclops”, Octopus and the UAV “Shvidun”, coded by the Ministry of Defense. This will allow me to save the expensive PAC-3 missiles, including for the reduction of ballistic “Kinjalivs” and “Iskanders”, while the military-industrial complex scales up the production of a new sovereign ballistic missile with a reduced cost of production by 30%,.

Analytical section HiTech Expert.

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