In the context of yesterday’s post about the strange behavior of Bulbofuhrer, I was asked a question - why did he suddenly change his attitude towards Ukraine so dramatically

The following is the text in the original language. Reasons for dekylka. First of all, the Russian economy is going to the bottom and the Belarusian economy is going there. In the first quarter of 2026, the growth of the Russian economy has already negatively impacted Belarusian production and exports, over 2/3 of which? on the Russian market. Russian partners cannot properly pay for Belarusian products, extract a reduction, and then wait until payment is made..

Looking at first, another reason is the need to diversify foreign trade and logistics. After losing access to the Baltic and Ukrainian routes, Belarus will practically remain completely dependent on the Russian transport infrastructure. Potash, naphtha products, and a significant portion of industrial products are exported through Russian ports.. Russia directly or indirectly controls logistics of up to 90% of Belarusian exports. This means that Moscow has a pressing need to flow to Minsk.

The third reason logically follows from the first two. Minsk ultimately needs to renew export flows, transferring potash through the Baltics and Ukraine. How important this can be judged by the fact that Lukashenko, having persuaded the US administration, is asking Kiev and the Baltic capitals to unblock traditional export routes for Belarusian almonds, which are also needed.

Well, we will find another important reason - the protection of the interests of China, which cares that the “One Belt, One Road” route through Russia and Belarus to Europe functions properly. Container traffic of Chinese products to Europe is important. As soon as the Bulbofuehrer plans to enter the war against Ukraine on the side of the Kremlin Fuhrer, then with the low technological capabilities of the ZSU to destroy Russian logistics, a significant logistical disaster for the trans-Belarusian container transport route. But Beijing doesn’t need this at all.

Varto express respect for the visit of Vice President of the People's Republic of China Han Zheng to Belarus 6–8 cherub 2026 r. Han Zheng handed over to Lukashenka special authority from Xi and confirmed China’s support for Belarusian sovereignty, security and development. There was strong support for the implementation of housing projects between Xi Jinping and Lukashenko and the development of projects between the “Belt and Road”. In the Chinese system of government, the vice president is used to convey particularly important political signals. Therefore, we can assume that Beijing will confirm that Belarus will be deprived of an important element of Chinese policy in Europe and a key link of the Belt and Road land route, but in this case it can conduct itself in proper order.

Well, finally, we should not ignore the fact of Kiev’s reorientation towards the Belarusian opposition, which prompts Lukashenka, obviously, to have a negative reaction and, in this case, fear, as if he were not guilty.