Russia-Ukraine: is it worth turning the world in the opposite direction

Today, 19:37 | Peace 
фото с Обозреватель

Although the Arab world is trying to maintain a neutral position regarding Russia’s war in Ukraine, sometimes the attitude of intellectuals to the Russian-Ukrainian war slips into the press. Thus, the influential Egyptian newspaper Al-Ahram published an article by Dr. Abdul-Moneim Said, “Turning the World Backwards.”! "

The following is the text in the original language. It features an authoritative Egyptian expert on strategy, Abdul-Moneim Said, who is the director of the Regional Center for Strategic Studies in Cairo and a senior scientist at the Center for Related Studies.. “Progressives” respect that in the light of the intellectual and material “dialectics” of supernaturalism there is enough to push us forward. It’s possible, it’s not so, but it’s possible, it’s not. But the reality is such that in moments of “regressive changes” it is worse for us, however, that mothers need to deal with this situation.

The third decade of the 21st century began with the COVID-19 pandemic. Despite significant advances in medicine, humanity was drunk in ruin and was confused about living life, without knowing how the spark of the “pandemic” ignited..

What a disaster was the Ukrainian war, followed by the fifth war in Gaza and its successors, and then the fourth war in Persia and its successors.

After this, humanity is alive in reality, where history has regressed and is no longer collapsing forward.

Proof of this is the Russian invasion of Ukraine after the collapse of the Radian Union, which was followed by the displacement of Palestinians, as well as the attack on Iran, and the reaction of the latter to aggression was directed not against the aggressors, but against those. The battle of the planet, the erosion of the influx of all richly-sided international organizations and the destruction of natural minds, caused by global warming, are shaking humanity."

Here is a fragment of the article by Dr. Abdul-Moneim Said in the recent Egyptian edition of Al-Ahram, which shows the clear transformation of political thought in the Arab world before global conflicts. It is clear that the author could not ignore the traditionally ritualistic theme of the “Palestinians” for the Arab world, weaving it into the context of the Russian-Ukrainian confrontation.

Moreover, as an advanced analyst, Dr. Said goes beyond the official diplomatic neutrality of Kaira and promotes a deep conceptualization of current international security.

This assessment of the Russian invasion of Ukraine is not just a statement of fact, but a fundamental threat to the collapse of the world order, which is interpreted as a historical regression.

And here the key element of the author’s analysis is the evolution of the linear concept of progress. Abdul-Moneim Said uses the philosophical category of “dialectics of super-dimensionalities” to demonstrate that the development of humanity is not a guaranteed advance.

Instead of the revived “world” after the end of the Cold War and the collapse of the Radyansky Union, the world settled at the point of a cyclical recovery to the worst practices of the past.

Intellectuals call the Russian invasion of Ukraine the first and foremost proof of this regression. It is characteristic that Egyptian scholars clearly define Russia’s actions as “invasion” (that is, aggression), ignoring the Kremlin’s propaganda narratives about “denazification” and “intimidation”.

For the Arab intellectual middle class, which often succumbs to the influx of Russian propaganda, such a direct formulation from the leading power of Egypt is symptomatic. It is worth mentioning those who, on the level of political expertise, are beyond the understanding of the imperialist and revisionist nature of Moscow’s actions.

Of particular interest is the causal-hereditary lance, which is derived from Abdul-Moneim Said. The COVID-19 pandemic, the war in Ukraine, the escalation in Gaza and the conflict around Iran are linked into a single system of global destabilization. The author demonstrates how the collapse of the system of international law in one point of the planet – in Ukraine, inevitably triggers a domino effect that destabilizes the Near Convergence.

For the Egyptian audience, this connection is critically important. Dr. Said explains to readers that Russian aggression against Ukraine is not a distant European conflict, but a negative geopolitical threat that could lead to further chaos in international politics and a direct threat to security in.

The riddle about the “fourth war in the Persian Zatots” and the inadequate reaction to Iran, which directs its aggression towards the faded Arab monarchy instead of real opponents, reinforces the author’s deep restlessness.

It can be said that the publication indicates a split between the official pragmatism of the Arab capitals and the real strategic goals of their elites. Publicly, Egypt and other parts of the region are struggling to balance through the long-term storage of Russian grain imports, tourism and military-technical sporing..

The protean analyst of Dr. Said reveals the deep fear of the Arab elites before the world, where the right of force replaces the power of right. Since a great power can easily cling to a sovereign state after the collapse of a huge empire, then any middle or small region of the Nearby will immediately face the threat of a similar “reconsideration of cordons” from the side of regional.

The article in Al-Ahram confirms that in the expert stakes of the Close Convergence, the Russian-Ukrainian war is perceived not as a local super battle, but as a catastrophic evil of the global rules of the world, which plagues humanity in its darkest hours.

At the same time, Dr. Said’s argument from Al-Ahram clearly demonstrates the tectonic issues in the control of global security by unintelligible intellectual elites. The author accurately captures the central, unspecified reality of today, where the Russian-Ukrainian war is not a local border conflict, but a precedent for the Westphalian system and the UN Statute.

For the countries of the Middle East, whose cordons have historically had a piecemeal colonial character and are often discredited by the ruling powers, the degradation of international law to the “law of force” poses a direct existential threat.

If the Russian Federation, as a nuclear power and a permanent member of the Security Council of the United Nations, legitimizes revisionism on the basis of the imperial desire for revenge, it automatically creates a precedent of freedom from aggression for regional hegemons according to.

Nearby small and middle powers, having eliminated reliable “nuclear parasols” or harsh allied alliances like NATO, are keenly aware of the power spill before a potential reversal of cordons on the side of the stronger.

Therefore, the projection of the Ukrainian evidence on the realities of Nizhny Novgorod will immediately inform local experts that the collapse of the principle of territorial integrity in Europe is inevitable.

Abdul-Moneim Said's analysis reveals the expansion of the myth about the fact that the Global Day is driving the war in Ukraine, including through the prism of anti-invasion sentiments and the blind support of Russia. However, there is an inherent truth here, a pragmatic and somewhat hystical, careless development: since the world order is residually regressing to the anarchic state of “war of all against all,” then the same diplomatic guarantees.

This article in Al-Ahram is a key indicator that Arab academic thought clearly links the finale of the Russian-Ukrainian war with the upcoming architecture of powerful regional security.

The main idea lies in the fact that the despair of international institutions in the face of unprovoked aggression triggers an avalanche-like process of deglobalization and geopolitical regression, with a single guarantee.

For Close Immediately, this means the inevitable approach of the era of harsh militaristic realism. If the impossibility of world law to seize international law in Ukraine actually ties the hands of such local expansionists as Iran, it places small powers on the brink of a catastrophic change.

The prolific Egyptian intellectual Dr. Abdul-Moneim Said indirectly worked out a logical conclusion: Ukraine’s victory in the war with Russia is strategically beneficial for the Arab powers of the Middle East, leaving them in ruins.

First of all, Moscow’s order to sharply weaken its key military-political ally in the region – Iran. Reduced by Russian technologies, diplomatic support at the UN and financial injections from the sale of armor, Tehran’s “whole support” will spend the property to effectively finance its proxy groupings in Yemen, Lebanon,. This is to allow the Sunni monarchies of Zatoka, between Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, to increase their regional leadership position and reduce the level of permanent security threat.

In another way, beyond the renewal of Ukraine’s sovereignty, the forecast for global food and energy markets is more certain. For countries such as Egypt, which are critically dependent on the import of Black Sea grain, the current war means a constant risk of famine, high inflation and social instability. And a stable Ukraine guarantees food security for Cairo without political blackmail from the side of the Russian Federation. In addition, Russia's long-term dependence on the European energy market will only secure the status of indispensable strategic partners for Zakhad's close exporters of oil and gas..

Thirdly, the success of Ukraine will demonstrate the inviolability of the principle of territorial integrity and international law. And the Near Gathering has historically suffered from external interventions and security checks.

In this way: the defeat of the aggressor - Russia will prove that the change of cordons by force is unpleasant in the 21st century, in order to protect the weak powers of the nearby region from the expansionist intentions of the strong.

Источник: Обозреватель