Apparently, the hidden purpose of this attack is an attempt to force the Gulf monarchies to participate in at least some form of ground operation. It still looks unlikely.

The following is the text in the original language. I have already written that, at first glance, the illogical Iranian attacks on the countries’ oil and gas infrastructure are intended to arouse these countries’ pressure on the United States as much as possible in order to end the war as quickly as possible. Both Israel and the United States seem to be trying this path of escalation for the sake of deescalation. Prote, without a large-scale ground operation, this strategy is quite risky. Strikes at the main ancestry of Iran, logically, will provoke strikes against the infrastructure of the regions of the Persian tributary and, obviously, as regards Tel Aviv and Washington, can encourage the monarchy to take active action. Prote, bye stench show miracles to Gandhism.

At the same time, the United States (Trump) is not yet ready to announce preparations for a wide ground operation, but is still working in the development mode of a series of local operations that may or may not stall.

The blow to the world's largest natural gas is likely to lead to major blackouts in Iran, but the likelihood of it causing a split among the military in Iran is still very low. The strategy of depleting the elites for the sake of replacing them with new graves, among whom may be? a holidaymaker will appear, you may ask, or you may not. Before the blackouts, it’s all about popular uprisings, denounced by the middle class, which is wasting business. Well, this strategy also has a 50/50 chance. More precisely, the riots themselves are possible, but without “conductors in the army” the effectiveness of such a scenario is minimal. Here, it seems, Americans and Israelis follow the principle that problems can be solved, and solutions show life.. And this, among others, is the same logic.

The formula of any kind of revolution, as for me, is as follows: “leader, idea (ideology), structure, hour, money, international support (movement), the presence of flooding citizens in the government, which is ready for. Naza Pakhlev has a leader, although he is quite intelligent, the idea is basic, structures that are ready to resist the regime, although he is quite disunited and not oriented towards Pakhlev, the hour is penny and international. Although with a clearly strong, ideological and structured center, the presence of your constituents is not an initial part of the formula in any particular application..

During the current era, Trump made a decision: he will not go into a ground operation. Iti – means even more rizukuvati. Don't go - take a break. Unfortunately, victory will be stunned.

The Russians’ goal is simple: prolong the war as much as possible. They respect that the long war will not help to weaken Trump, otherwise it will tempt the Europeans to reconsider the sanctions policy of energy companies (first for all gas). At the same time, it is very important for them to show their teeth to the regime in Cuba. All this is done by the United States over Russia and keeps energy prices at a level that is comfortable for the Russian Federation.. I think the Russians are immediately looking for another point of tension here in the world.

It's all about us?

– Start by demanding that there will be no way for Trump to withdraw from the negotiations.

- Trump may want to cooperate with Russia, but the situation is such that without support from Congress and the Senate it is impossible (there is no support). Plus, there is a clear position of Nimechchina, who will be the locomotive of protest in the EU. Among other things, against this backdrop, the elections in Ugorshchina become even more important for the Russian Federation.

– We need to follow Stubb’s statements, which strongly promote the idea of \u200b\u200b“de facto wasted territories”. Vin, it seems, will be a public spokesman for what is being talked about on the sidelines.

– The real negotiation process will begin no earlier than the end of the season and the start of the season.