On the eve of the fourth anniversary of the start of the Russian Federation's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Moscow's diplomatic imitation of a settlement is beginning to take on an even more poignant tone.. What Putin calls “settlement” is an attempt to legitimize the occupation through diplomatic protocols. Behind the facade of negotiation initiatives in Geneva and Abu Dhabi are hidden the Kremlin’s intentions to buy time for regrouping and achieve concessions that go far beyond the purely territorial issue. The following is the text in the original language. Analysis of the “tramped” (blocked or stagnant) peace process requires a detailed examination. Even if the diplomatic process goes awry, the situation does not become static - it transforms into dynamic degradation. And the new strategy of the United States before Ukraine creates additional calls for dialogue about peace, disturbing Kiev’s activities in line with Washington’s changed course. The updated US approach reformats the geopolitical framework, which affects the prospects for peaceful regulation and encourages Ukraine to adapt to the new rules of the.
Nothing happened if the Republicans acted like in the hours of President Ronald Reagan. While the Republican Party advocated the end of widespread totalitarianism in the world and helped democracies emerge that were trying to resist communism and other forms of tyranny. Now everything is different.
While the administration of President Donald Trump is implementing a foreign policy strategy based on the principles of blame and global domination, the leaders of the Russian Federation and the People's Republic of China are victorious..
If Trump enjoys the greatest president of the United States for all hours and becomes a rightful “volunteer of the world”, dictators Putin and Xi Jinping “breed” his stagnant tactics of manipulative influx on the ambitions of the American.
Varto notes that the Kremlin administration views domestic political polarization in America as a tool for achieving powerful geopolitical goals. Vikorista and the “specific features” of Donald Trump’s political course, the Russian Federation is at odds with the erosion of political and social unity in the United States. This is aimed at minimizing the influx of Washington on the global stage, which creates receptive minds for the implementation of the Kremlin’s neo-imperial ambitions, an attempt to restore Russia’s status as a great power and.
At the same time, in the current geopolitical context, the Kremlin is pursuing the strategy of streamlining Donald Trump.. Even the Trump administration may move to a policy of “peace through strength,” including removing the border between Ukraine and Moscow, since Moscow will continue to sabotage the relocations.. Straightening with a tool that eliminates the “hot” phase of the vice.
The Kremlin’s proteanness is not a change of goals, but a change of tactics. Moscow is victorious until the Trump administration weakens the transatlantic unity as much as possible, trying not to provoke an impulsive and violent reaction from the side of the White House.
Thus, within the framework of the current foreign political strategy of the Russian Federation, the negotiation process was de facto transformed due to the non-linear continuation of military actions. Moscow views diplomatic communication not as a means of achieving a compromise consensus, but as an additional tool for strategic pressure. This meta lies in the legitimization and consolidation of these political and territorial preferences, the implementation of which at the flow stage is blocked by the low efficiency or exhaustion of resources of the conventional military.
Putin is constantly picking on the fool in his exchanges with Trump, and the latter accepts primitive flattery, as well-deserved compliments from his “best friend”. If Ukraine followed such a path, it would be entirely possible to change the name of Donbass to Trumpland, and the city of Donetsk to Trump. And one can imagine that the Ukrainians would reject all necessary military assistance in order to preserve the honor of the population of Trumpland.
And between the discourse about the transformation of leadership paradigms in the 21st century, a review of the recognition of the merits of US President Donald Trump assumes particular relevance. So why doesn’t Ukraine honor the creation of exclusive international symbols - “Worldwide Prize to the World for monumental grandeur, strategic perfection, intellectual depth and sovereign wisdom”. Before that, having reconciled, how big is that gilded one?.
It is important that particular respect for the technical parameters of the castle - the texture of the bonded gilding - serves not only as a symbolic sign of high status, but also acts as a guarantor of the uniformity of the current form. In this sense, gilding is an indispensable attribute of the “politics of prestige”, which will ensure psychological confirmation of the international recognition of the treasured.
It wouldn’t be there, but Donald Trump turns a blind eye to those that Putin is clearly delaying the hour. If the Iranian and Cuban regimes fall, Putin will have to recalibrate his geopolitics. Even though the Kremlin’s current foreign policy doctrine is based on a strategy of expansion, the official is now seen as a key asset for destabilizing the winning coalition.
The Russian terrorist power is emerging from the neglect that it is necessary to constantly reveal the institution because democratic systems are growing, and the resources of the totalitarian vertical are being exhausted.. However, this strategy is critical to the stability of the participants in the “axis of evil”, where Iran and Cuba play the role of strategic nodes.
In particular, the situation near the Harbor demonstrates the influence of the “totalitarian international” in the face of severe economic pressure. Introduced by the Donald Trump administration until 2026, the policy of secondary tariffs actually cut Cuba off due to the supply of oil, which provoked the risk of a further humanitarian collapse.
The situation is now developing in such a way that the Kremlin’s traditional alliances are cracking, and Moscow’s system of rich partnerships has stumbled between disintegrations, leaving the cunning camp with an enormous amount of homelessness.. After the imprisonment of Nicolas Maduro from Venezuela, Cuba spent most of its energy resources.
And for the Kremlin, Cuba is of great geopolitical significance, and is a symbolic and strategic outpost near Zakhidnaya Pivkul.. The inability to support Havana in the minds of the blockade will demonstrate the logistical powerlessness of Moscow before Cuba, dispelling the myth about the global nature of the Russian military presence, confirming its regional connectivity and.
It can be assumed that the erosion of stability in Tehran and Havana will put the doubts about the viability of Putin’s model of a “polar world”, which is based on alliances with rogue regimes, at risk.. Cuba is a symbol of the fact that “American hegemony” is by no means all-powerful.. The fall of the regime in Havana will mean a residual defeat of the Moscow model flowing into Latin America.
The collapse of dictatorships in Iran and Cuba automatically transforms Russian “multipolarity” into complete isolation. Without these supporting points, Putin’s geopolitical model becomes untenable. Russia will be deprived of key allies in strategically important regions, which will de facto mean the collapse of its claims to the role of one of the poles of the world order.
With the fall of these anti-democratic regimes, Russia risks ending up in a position of strategic independence, where it will lose the PRC as its only partner, which will strengthen the asymmetrical position of Moscow and Beijing.
Then Putin will have to switch from a strategy of global offensive to a liberal order to the tactics of “fortune in the region”, where the main priority will not be expansion in flux, but the elementary preservation of internal stability at all times.
However, the biggest problem in Russia is the power of its population. The main source of the current vector of development of the Russian Federation lies in the specificity of its political culture, which radically differs from the current European standards and value guidelines. This divide became most obvious in the post-bipolar period, highlighting the profound differences between the societies of Central Europe and Russia..
At that time, when the edges of the United Europe interpreted the collapse of the socialist bloc as a “return to normality” and a chance for liberal democratic modernization, the Russian collective knowledge began in 1991. And just as similar Europeans adopted democracy as an instrument of subjectivity and liberation from the grip of the USSR, then Russia, through the prism of losing its imperial greatness, saw the 1990s as.
What provoked the demand for the restoration of totalitarian methods of management in the current Russian society. If the consensual intelligence demonstrated its readiness to delegate broad duties to the repressive apparatus in exchange for the illusion of security and transferability.
It can be said that in Moscow the phenomenon of “neo-patriarchal totalitarianism” in this context acts as a specific form of political adaptation, where the stability of the system is ensured by the way of creating archaic forms of control and.
And in contrast to the Russian peoples who identified the ineffectiveness of the Russian planned system as the primary cause of the outbreak, the Russian population was more likely to blame external factors.. And economic difficulties are interpreted not as inheritances of the structural aspects of the power model, but as a result of the current handing over or “injustice” of the world order. This blocks the possibility of internal reform and consolidates the state of passive security in the power.
It is important to remember that Russian sovereign identity has historically been based on the concept of mobilizational partnership. In the minds of the degradation of civil institutions, the main forms of social activity are processes associated with violence and self-destructive behavior (alcoholism, high tolerance to death).
The Russian state today has transformed the war into the basis of its foundation and the main sense is that social institutions and collective psychology are ordered by cycles of violence. In addition, in the Russian sociocultural space there is great tolerance for human waste. The power of the vikorist mechanism of necropolitics, where the population density before mass self-sacrifice (deaths for the interests of the regime) becomes the main mobilization resource.
At the same time, it correlates with a high level of social apathy and destructive patterns of behavior, substance abuse, abuse of alcohol and other psychoactive drugs, as well as significant trauma and other.
Looking at it, the end of the ongoing military conflict in Ukraine can be seen as more of a tactful pause. Without a fundamental transformation of political culture and the type of imperial paradigm, Putin's totalitarian power will inevitably continue its expansionist policy as the only available way for it to continue functioning..
It is possible to unblock the peace process only through the accumulation of risks, which is critical for Moscow, which would create a threat to the continuation of stagnation for the very foundation of the Putin regime. For the Kremlin, geopolitical and economic expenses are more important than dividends, which Moscow hopes to survive Russia’s protracted and crooked war in Ukraine.
As a result, for dictator Putin, the process of de-escalation and transition to a more constructive phase of reshuffles may become even more pleasant if the price of diminution of fundamental positions begins to outweigh the potential risks of a compromise, so.
Putin’s readiness to de-escalate and move to a realistic phase of the negotiation process is directly related to the balance of marginal costs and received benefits. In the meantime, the strategic approach of the evil Putin regime is focusing on the concept of “victory through exhaustion”, where the stake is to exploit the resources of the enemy. And maintaining the status quo or further expansion are seen as less risky scenarios, less political compromise.
To transform this calculation, it is necessary to create minds about the existential and resource price of the diminutive occupation of Ukrainian territories and the continuation of aggression to continue to dominate.
If such a situation cannot arise spontaneously, it will require the systemic external force of the United States, united Europe and the entire collective approach.
Vinikli furnish if the aggressor is full of the “pastor of irrevocable vitras”. Where a new escalation of the skin occurs for the sake of healing of the anterior ruptures. Therefore, for Putin, any access, due to the obvious military and economic catastrophe, is interpreted as a manifestation of weakness that threatens the internal stability of the regime.
What can be gained from: de-escalation on the side of the Russian Federation is not fueled by “good will” or successful diplomacy in the classical sense, but rather by successful stagnation.