Over the past month, it is clearly noticeable that Putin is in euphoria, commensurate with the euphoria of January-February 2025, when he put everything on a summer offensive.

The following is the text in the original language. The pinnacle of this euphoria was the two-year delay to Vitkof and Kushnir. Ale, let's talk about everything in order.

Let me start by saying that my hypothesis has been confirmed: the United States has really changed its negotiating strategy. The logic has now arrived: in Washington it is important that it is necessary to talk about all the food outside the territory. And then, at the finals, you can press territories on us. The Kremlin interprets this not only as a prolongation of the hour, but also as the possibility of separating the negotiations on Ukraine from economic negotiations between the USA and China..

Let’s turn to Putin and change his psychological status. I respect that his reasoning (the logical part) rests on several whales:.

This all creates in Putin the illusion that he will overpower everyone and turn into great geopolitics. The situation is reduced to the formula: you are weak, and there are even greater weaklings..

There are two main disadvantages:.

And the third one - in Russia, from the middle of 2027, a real economic crisis will appear (not a recession, but a crisis, so that they wouldn’t tell us Inozemtsev and Aleksashenko). Let's go beyond Putin's time plans. І Ukraine also.