Trump believed and continues to believe: the issue of Ukraine’s withdrawal from Donbass is the key to effective negotiations. This question will be the main one in the coming weeks (and beyond).
The following is the text in the original language. What are Trump's trumps
– the situation at the front, as seen from the eyes of the Americans, will not be prettier;
– The number of days of financing of Ukraine in 2026 without unfreezing of Russian assets. Breastfeeding has minimal chance of developing? languishing with an unknown prospect for the present day;
– Continuation of the corruption scandal with the appearance of a new series of stories? I mean from the defense industry, not turned off, obshukami in Yermak.
How can you contact Bankova
– continuation of negotiations with the Europeans, who want to cancel security guarantees beyond “Trump’s word”;
– The Ukrainians, as a minimum of the proactive part, should sign such an agreement.
It’s time for Putin to end the war, since Ukraine is ready to sign territorial actions?
- Here you go, as if I have food.. In Trump's logic, Putin cannot help but sign this, otherwise the United States will actually join the war against the shadow fleet.
– Interval stopped? Putin’s show shows that he doesn’t want any parts of the war.
We have a plan B?
– we may have an hour’s lag until spring (the money will end in the spring). Then everything will lie depending on how many pennies you see.
– we see from this point that Trump simply cannot help but sell armor and defend sharing intelligence.
Like vysnovki?
The probability of reaching Ukraine immediately is less than 50%. If the real pressure will only be felt at once, then the situation may change dynamically;
28 points in the Vitkof-Dmitriev plan will be deprived of key points for all future peace plans, as if the next blitz-krieg will be stopped. The other day I wrote that what we could really do is close the discussions on each of these points, because we won’t be able to agree on them all. At once it looks like it’s impossible. Everyone should think in terms of elections, but the discussion will become public once it is finished;
The best plan now is for the war to enter the winter with the negotiation window of opportunity no earlier than spring.