80 years ago, at a meeting of the leaders of the USA, the USSR and Great Britain, the post -war section of the world was held. The lost Germany was divided into two parts: pro -Western Germany and pro -Soviet GDR. Russia also established control over Eastern Europe, received Kaliningrad and Sakhalin. And Britain, for example, gained control and the right to resolve the situation in Greece.

The 80th anniversary of the Yalta Conference practically coincided with the return to the White House of Donald Trump. Who immediately stated that the United States claims Greenland (belongs to Denmark), the Panaman channel and invited Canada to become the 51st state of America. Comparison with the new redistribution of the world is difficult not to notice. Is a new redistribution of the spheres of influence and how it will affect the Russian-Ukrainian war, Focus recognized from experts.

The Yalta Conference is still a kind of symbol of the end of World War II, although several months remained before the real end of the war and the final conference finally took place in Potsdam. In the context of the current situation, you can draw certain analogies. In particular, The Independent, citing aware sources, reports that Donald Trump is aimed to complete the war in the spring, while on conditions that will be favorable for Ukraine.

" Trump is seriously approaching the issue of resolving the war and, as expected, he will work closely with the President of Ukraine Vladimir Zelensky, and the official meeting of leaders can take place in the coming weeks, ”the publication notes the publication. At the same time, the newspaper adds that Trump is a supporter of the zones of influence, as evidenced by his statements regarding Greenland, Panama, Canada and the like.

So is the conditional \?

In particular, the director of the Center for Middle Eastern Studies, Igor Semivolos, in a conversation with the focus, notes: “The redistribution of the planet is the story of the past. Yes, with his loud statements about Greenland, Panam and other countries, Trump set a certain trend, but all this looks like an attempt to stir up water, nothing more. In other words, Trump creates even greater uncertainty within which it is actually very difficult to divide the world. In general, one gets a persistent impression that he (Trump - Ed.. ) Someone comes running, whispers in the ear, and he listens and thoughtlessly repeats. By and large, such a policy is extremely difficult to call a policy of thoughtful and understandable. The vast majority of Trump's statements look like shocking, nothing more. To achieve everything that Trump is talking about, at least, it is necessary to have such forces that had the United States of America after the Second World War. "

According to the expert, many Trump's statements about geopolitical intentions leave great scope for fantasies. " But be that as it may, there are no grounds for " How much does the Russian Federation occupy in the world division of labor today? 1-1.5%. It's funny. It is somewhat more complicated with China, because here it is already about 40 percent about 40 percent. Yes, this is a lot, but China, at least in words, acts as an opponent of Trump and is not going to share the world with anyone. In general, the Chinese do not really strive for such a redistribution, because it is also a responsibility that the PRC does not like to take on when it is possible to soft force or trade, ”says Igor Semivolos, adding that Trump says and.

Given the foregoing, the expert predicts that no one with Trump will be here and now to conclude some super-serious agreements, since no one knows “from which leg the US president will stand up tomorrow”.

Having emphasized in a conversation with the focus that the geopolitical section of the zones of influence is Putin’s pink dream, political analyst Igor Reiterovich noted: “Roughly speaking, to arrange a Yalta-Postdam format, dividing the whole world with the United States is the idea of \u200b\u200ba Fix that constantly wanders the Kremlin halls. But such a plan will not work, even despite certain expansionist aspirations inherent in Donald Trump. I am convinced that Trump's statements in Greenland, Canada, Mexico, Panama will remain only hints and all issues there will eventually be resolved legally. Along with that, the conditional " However, even if we talk about a certain two polarity, which can begin to form, then the Russian Federation will definitely not act as one of the poles "

The format when the world is divided into spheres of influence in which each of the parties has complete freedom and acts, as it pleases, according to the political scientist, today is de facto unrealistic. " It is clear that now a certain dependence is also maintained, but, firstly, there is NATO, and secondly, the subjectivity of the EU, and therefore European countries are an order of magnitude higher ”.

In the outlined context, Igor Reiterovich believes, " Along with that, the expert involves the formation of a new global security architecture with the dominance of certain forces, but with a significant role of smaller countries. However, such a global "

Now Moscow and Beijing, Igor Reiterovich notes, meticulously watching President Trump, concludes that the Republican can speak loudly and pathetically about democracy, sometimes resorting to " "

Along with that, the expert summarizes, Donald Trump, demonstrating a kind of chaos in the foreign policy arena, “creates a certain problem for dictatorial regimes”: “Russia and China have always been successfully used that democratic countries are always predictable. But Trump, saying that, they say, yes, I am the leader of the largest at least in the institutional structure of democracy, simultaneously unequivocally hints to dictators, which sometimes can act with their own methods "

The indicated style of Trump, according to Igor Reiterovich, “is very annoying the Chinese and Russians,” who, seeing a serious challenge in the foreign policy of the current president, are afraid of quick agreements with him of any kind. As Timothy O'Brien notes on this occasion, so far it is not fully clear to anyone whether Trump really believes in the world where there are dominant spheres of influence: the United States in the Western Hemisphere, China in the Asian-Pacific region and Russia in Europe. “This is the logic of the isolationist wing of the Republicans, and this is a recipe for a random restructuring of world relations,” O'Brien emphasizes, calling Trump's desire to bypass opponents in search of diplomatic agreements for themselves as a key risk.

But while experts are discussing the impossibility of Trump's actions, the US president just acts - and very tough. Immediately after the inauguration, he called the Prime Minister Denmark Mette Fredericksen and demanded that she sell Greenland.

Senior European officials said that the conversation was very bad. Trump allegedly behaved aggressively and confrontation after the Prime Minister of Denmark said that the island was not sold.

" It was a cold shower. It used to be difficult to take it seriously. But I think this is serious and potentially very dangerous, ”said one of the sources of the publication.

A week later, the Denmark government allocated 14.6 billion kroons (about 2.04 billion dollars) for the defense of Greenland. And the Prime Minister Mette Fredericksen asked European support leaders in the confrontation of aggressive rhetoric of the US president.

And there is support-French Foreign Minister Jean-Noel Barro said that France discussed with Denmark the issue of sending troops to Greenland in response to the repeated threats of US President Donald Trump to annexes the Danish territory, reports Politico.

And who will say that this is not like a new redistribution of the world?