SpaceX founder Elon Musk estimated the probability of success of the first orbital flight of the Starship. According to the businessman, he estimates the success of the first orbital mission at 50%, Space reports.. com.

" It definitely won't be boring,"

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SpaceX is building multiple Starships at once at a spaceport it calls Starbase. The company plans to launch these ships relatively quickly, within a few months..

“So I think we have, hopefully, about an 80% chance of going into orbit this year.. It will probably take us another couple of years to achieve full and rapid reuse,” Musk said..

Starship is being developed as a reusable spacecraft to deliver cargo and people to the Moon, Mars and other deep space objects.. NASA has already signed a contract with the company to deliver people to the moon with it as part of the Artemis program..

The vehicle consists of two fully reusable elements: a first-stage booster called Super Heavy and a 50-meter-tall spacecraft known as Starship.. Both will be powered by SpaceX's next-generation Raptor engine - six for Starship and about 30 for Super Heavy..

On the night of May 6, 2021, SpaceX successfully conducted a test flight of the Starship prototype. The ship repeated the testing program for Starship prototypes SN8 and SN9, which crashed on landing after a suborbital flight, as well as SN10, which exploded seven minutes after a successful landing due to damage received..