In Russia, they again started talking about the " However, the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) does not believe that Russia will succeed, according to a December 21 report..

Kremlin accuses NATO of military threat to Russia, ISW analysts write. In particular, Shoigu said that the expansion of NATO at the Russian borders, including the desire of Finland and Sweden for membership, requires a "

Consequently, Shoigu proposed to increase the size of the Russian army, in particular, he proposed to increase the strength of the RF Armed Forces to 1.5 million military personnel, including 695 thousand. contractors.

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“However, it is very unlikely that the Kremlin will raise such a large conventional force in the time frame related to the Russian war in Ukraine,” the ISW report says.. “Russia was not able to fully equip existing brigades and regiments before a full-scale invasion and did not fully build a new division, which it plans to form in 2020 before the invasion of Ukraine in 2022”.

The Institute points out that the Russian economy is in recession, and its resources have been significantly reduced after Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Russia's training capacity has also declined since Feb. 24, partly due to the Kremlin deploying training elements to fight in Ukraine..

" It also sets the information conditions for the Kremlin to conduct future mobilization waves under the rubric of staffing these formations and a significant build-up of Russia's military force in the long term,” analysts say..

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Recall that in August Vladimir Putin decided to increase the Russian army to 2.04 million people. The document will enter into force in 2023, but for now the total number of the Russian army is 1.9 million.. people, 1.15 of which are military personnel.