Military expert and reserve colonel of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Oleg Zhdanov explained that Belarus can indeed quickly move its troops to the borders of Ukraine, but not overnight. On his YouTube channel, he estimated the likelihood of such a rapid onset of the Republic of Belarus.
" We suppose. What they can put up to 20-25 BTG. If they rotate 6 battalion tactical groups for 5-6 days, then the movement of 20 BTGs, even in a combined way (this means that wheeled vehicles will go by road, and tracked vehicles by rail),"
The expert notes that our intelligence is monitoring the Belarusian threat, so we will know immediately when the troops of the Republic of Belarus are activated.
" Of course, our intelligence will track this, and we will immediately know that the equipment of the Belarusian army has begun an active movement.. You see, the Russian army has begun to move, and we already know where the columns are going, which columns, how many of them, what equipment is in these columns and in what directions they are moving.. As for Belarus - everything is the same - intelligence is working. Everything will be known to her immediately,"
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Recall, the former commander of US troops in Europe, an expert at the Washington Center for European Policy Analysis, retired General Ben Hodges considers it unlikely that the Russians will again dare to launch a ground attack on Ukraine from the territory of Belarus, including closer to winter.
The Kremlin decided that the Belarusian military should take a direct part in the war. Lukashenka is trying to refrain from this step. But the room for maneuver is limited. Read about Putin's goals, risks for Lukashenka and what Western countries need to do in Vladimir Kravchenko's article \? " U.A..