WSJ: Will the US support Ukraine if Congress is under the control of the Republicans?

18 July 2022, 14:04 | Peace 
фото с Зеркало недели

President Joe Biden vows to support Ukraine 'for as long as it takes'. But if the Republican Party takes control of the lower house of Congress in November, will it let him do it There is a fatalistic belief in some Republican circles that the answer to this question is “no.”.

Such fear is based on the claim that the party is becoming increasingly isolationist.. In May, 57 members of the House of Representatives and 11 Republican senators voted against an aid package for Ukraine.. The Heritage Foundation think-tank has also advocated withholding support for Kyiv because it distracts from more important issues such as inflation and rising crime.. Michael Allen, former special assistant to the President of the United States and former director of the House Intelligence Committee, writes about this in an article for the Wall Street Journal..

He notes that isolationism or unwillingness to help Ukraine is not common among Republican voters.. A May poll by Pew Research showed that 71% of Americans and 68% of Republicans support the transfer of military equipment and weapons to Kyiv.. 64% of Americans and 60% of Republicans favor deploying more US troops to NATO countries bordering Ukraine. These numbers have stuck despite voters' dissatisfaction with so-called endless wars and "

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The author is convinced that the Republican Party needs to take several steps to dispel the concern. First, she needs to make sure that the help is specific and not endless.. The Biden administration is very slow to make decisions and be too cautious. And it has provoked suspicions that the US is sending enough weapons to bring the war to a stalemate.. The president put American prestige into this war. And Republicans should show concern if the Biden administration isn't aiming for a clear win.. With a majority in the House of Representatives, they will be in a strong position to impose strict oversight.. They will put pressure on the Secretary of State and the Secretary of Defense, demanding clear strategies from them.. In addition, the Republicans will insist that these officials often come to Capitol Hill to defend their strategy..

GOP 'won't sign blank check' for Biden administration. She should track in detail all the expenses of the President's team.. In the same way that Congress, during the second term of George W. Bush, set conditions for the allocation of assistance to Iraq to achieve specific targets, Republicans can now insist on similar measures to ensure accountability and transparency.. In addition, Ukraine is waging war against Russia, not the United States.. Therefore, Congress can stipulate that every dollar will be allocated only to a strategy that strengthens US goals in Europe..

But the Republican Party should also remember why it is important to support Ukraine.. Failure to do so could undermine several long-term US strategic goals.. For example, consider NATO. For years, Republican administrations have urged European allies to increase their defense commitments.. Since Russia invaded Ukraine in February, many of them, especially Germany, have dramatically increased their defense spending.. But the position of the Germans and other Europeans is not unambiguous. It can be assumed that if the US turns its back on Ukraine, it will give them an excuse to reduce their commitments too.. Therefore, maintaining a presence helps ensure that the Europeans also live up to their defense commitments..

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A disruption in the supply of military aid from the United States will also have devastating consequences for the Ukrainian army on the battlefield.. In this case, the expected Ukrainian counter-offensive in the south may not take place.. Refusal to supply American aid could even force Ukraine to sit down prematurely at the negotiating table, further bolstering Russia's confidence in its adventurism in Europe.. In this case, Washington's ability to turn to Asia and focus on the rise of China will be limited.. A stable Europe is needed to successfully direct US defense spending and attention to Asia.

Republicans should oppose endless commitments, funding defunct international organizations, and anything to do with " But there is space for GOP policy to keep aid to Ukraine open while keeping the Biden administration in check, reinforcing U.S. strategic goals in Europe and Asia..

Источник: Зеркало недели