It will be difficult for Ukraine and Russia to find a diplomatic solution to end the war until the situation on the battlefield changes.
This opinion was expressed by the American philosopher and Stanford University professor Francis Fukuyama in an interview for CNBC..
" Therefore, any concessions necessary for a compromise solution are simply politically unacceptable,” he explained..
Ukraine cannot accept anything less than a Russian retreat to the positions it held before the full-scale invasion.
“If the Russians do not retreat to the positions they held on February 23, before the invasion, I don’t see how the Ukrainian president can put up with this.. Otherwise, he will literally cede Ukrainian territory,” Fukuyama said..
On the other hand, Russia also cannot give up the territories it seized during the month of the war..
“It will mean that Vladimir Putin started a massive war, suffered massive losses and inflicted massive losses on. And in vain. The decision will have to wait for changes on the battlefield, ”the American expert added..
In addition to the territorial issue, Russia also wants Ukraine to sign an agreement on its neutrality.. Zelensky made it clear that he is ready for this. He also offered Russia a compromise on Donbass.. Fukuyama admits he cannot predict how the current war will end. However, Russia has already been defeated on the northern outskirts of Kyiv..
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“In Moscow they say that they are only regrouping. But, you know, don't be deceived. The Ukrainians really destroyed a quarter or a third of the forces that Russia had,” Fukuyama said..
According to the expert, he is " Because the morale of her troops is much higher.
“The Russians are demoralized, they are abandoning their equipment. They don't know what they are fighting for,"
He also pointed out that "
“They are motivated by a deep sense of patriotism and national identity. I think these are exactly the factors that really play a big role in determining the results of armed conflicts,” the American expert noted..
Recall that following the results of the negotiations on March 29, the head of the legal group at the negotiations between Ukraine and Russia, Oleksandr Chaly, said that security guarantees should be analogous to Article 5 of NATO. This means that an attack on our state will be considered an attack on all signatories.. Chaly noted that if they are agreed, our side agrees to permanent neutrality, non-alignment and non-nuclear. But nothing should contradict Ukraine's right to join the EU.
The head of the Ukrainian delegation, David Arakhamia, told whom Ukraine wants to see as signatories of security guarantees. He also said that the document will not apply to the temporarily occupied territories of Donbass and Crimea, since issues regarding them have not yet been resolved..
Earlier, the United States declared its readiness to act as one of the guarantors of Ukraine's security.. Then the same was announced in Germany and Italy. At the same time, Deputy British Prime Minister Dominic Raab said that London would consider Ukraine's request, but he ruled out taking guarantees that NATO countries have..