Ukraine will win a clear victory in the war with Russia. And the consequences of this victory will be felt throughout the world.. This forecast was given by the American philosopher and economist, Stanford University professor Francis Fukuyama.

In an article for American Purpose, he noted that he is now in North Macedonia.. And the coverage of the Russian war against Ukraine in Skopje is somewhat different from the general European tone.. Largely due to the country's commitment to Serbia, as well as popularity with the Serbian version of the Russian propaganda channel Sputnik. Fukuyama compiled a list of 12 predictions he believes will result from a Russian invasion.

Firstly, according to the American philosopher, Russia will face a definite defeat in Ukraine. Russian war planning was completely incompetent, based on false expectations that the Ukrainians would be favorable to the aggressor, and the Ukrainian army would fall apart very quickly.. The Russian soldiers were apparently carrying full dress uniforms for the festive parade in Kyiv, instead of bringing extra ammunition and food. At present, Vladimir Putin has already thrown almost all of his military forces into battle.. There are no significant reserves that he could mobilize and send to war.. Russian troops are stuck near many Ukrainian cities, where they suffer from severe supply problems and constant Ukrainian attacks..

Secondly, the collapse of Russian positions will be sudden and catastrophic. There will be no war of attrition and post defeat. Russian troops on the battlefield will reach the point where they can neither receive allowances nor retreat. Their morality will finally evaporate. This happens at least in the north direction. In the south, the Russians are doing better, but it will be difficult for them to hold these positions after the collapse of the offensive in the north.

Thirdly, no diplomatic solution is possible to the Russian military collapse. There is no compromise that would be acceptable for both Ukraine and Russia, given the losses that both sides have suffered at the present time..

Fourthly, the UN Security Council once again showed its incapacity. The only useful thing was the vote of the General Assembly, which helped to clearly indicate who the bastard is..

Fifth, Fukuyama believes that the decision of the Joe Biden administration not to introduce a no-fly zone over Ukraine and not to transfer MiG-29 aircraft was right.. According to the philosopher, this was prudent behavior in very emotional times.. It will be much better if Ukraine itself defeats the Russian army, so that Moscow cannot justify its defeat with NATO intervention.. It also avoided the obvious risks of escalation. Fukuyama is convinced that Polish MiG-29s would not help much to strengthen Ukrainian military capabilities. It is much more important to continue the supply of Javelin, Stinger, TB2 missiles, medical supplies, communications systems, and also provide intelligence data. Most likely, Ukrainian forces are already using NATO data.

Fukuyama's sixth point says Ukraine is of course paying a very high price. Rockets and artillery do a lot of damage.. MiG-29 or an unmanned zone, according to the philosopher, would not protect the country from such Russian weapons. Therefore, the main thing is to stop the massacre by overcoming the Russian army on the ground.

Fukuyama's Seventh Prediction Says Putin Will Not Survive Defeat. He is supported because he is considered the strongest autocrat. What can he offer, will show his incompetence and powerlessness?

Eighth Prediction: The Russian invasion has already done massive damage to populists around the world who, before the war, unanimously expressed their admiration for Putin. Among them are Matteo Salvini in Italy, Jair Bolsonar in Brazil, Eric Zemour and Marine Le Pen in France, Viktor Orban in Hungary and, of course, Donald Trump in the USA.. The politics of war exposed their outright authoritarian bias.

Fukuyama's ninth point says the war has been a good lesson for China so far. Like Russia, he has built a high-tech military over the past ten years.. However, this army has no combat experience. The miserable successes of the Russian Air Force are likely to be spotted by the air force of the Chinese Liberation Army, which also has no experience in conducting complex operations in the sky.. It is to be hoped that the Chinese authorities will not resort to self-deception about their own capabilities, as Russia did when it wants to attack Taiwan in the future..

The tenth advice of the philosopher - it's time for Taiwan to wake up and start preparing for battle, as the Ukrainians did. Military conscription needs to be reinstated. No need to prepare in advance for the defeat of the island.

Eleventh prediction: Turkish drones will become the best seller in the world. And the twelfth: the defeat of Russia will open the way for a “new birth of freedom” and end talk of the decline of global democracy. The spirit of 1989 will come alive again thanks to the courage of Ukrainians.