The dollar and the euro set the price

04 September 2018, 11:11 | Economy 
фото с YTPO.ru

The ruble is doomed to further fall. Around him there was an extremely unfavorable situation, besides on the nose the next introduction of restrictive measures against the Russian Federation. Investors are most frightened by the unknown. Therefore, until the emergence of any certainty about the new sanctions, "Russian" will be cheaper. On the first working day of autumn on the Moscow Stock Exchange, the ruble habitually hand over positions relative to the major world currencies. The US dollar for the day went up by 57 cents, to 68.12 rubles. The value of the single European currency grew by 77 cents, to 79.14 rubles, according to the website of the trading platform. If there is no miracle, then today this trend will continue.

As a result, the dollar can come close to 69 rubles, and the euro - to a psychologically important level of 80 rubles. Experts believe that the market is waiting for the resumption of the discussion on new anti-Russian sanctions in the US Congress.

The senators leave the holidays on September 6 and immediately can start discussing the relevant bill. "(Up to this point), the ruble will behave quite calmly, although a moderately negative dynamics. In the future, everything will depend on how tight the sanctions will be. So far, it is expected that they will affect Russian strategic companies, state-owned banks and the country's national debt, "notes the analyst of the Forex Club Ivan Marchena. His words lead "Rossiyskaya Gazeta". On the other hand, it is possible that the fall of the ruble will not be catastrophic even in the event of the introduction of the most severe sanctions. Talks about new restrictions have been going on for a long time, the ruble has been sinking all the time, so a significant part of the negative effect has already been played by the market. For the ruble, much will also depend on the decisions of the Bank of Russia. In August, the regulator did not buy foreign currency on a budgetary rule, in order not to completely finish off the weakened ruble. If purchases are resumed in September, the Russian currency will be under colossal pressure. According to Marcheny, within the next month the ruble will maintain high oil prices, fixed above $ 75 per barrel of Brent brand. "Despite the temporary fluctuations in the market, medium-term support for oil quotes has fears of a reduction in the supply of oil from countries suffering from US economic sanctions. In particular, it is forecasted that in September the volume of supplies of black gold from Iran will decrease to 1.5 million barrels per day, "the expert said.. As a result of all the above factors before the clarity of the new US sanctions, the dollar will stay in the corridor 67-68 rubles, and the euro - in the range of 78-79 rubles. After the introduction of new restrictions, the US currency will easily pass for a mark of 70 rubles, and the euro will overcome the 80-ruble barrier.

Источник: YTPO.ru