I say "usurpation", because there have been no fair elections in this country for a long time. The real oppositionist Boris Nemtsov with Putin's tacit consent was killed right under the walls of the Kremlin. And Alexey Navalny, who is capable of making Putin a rival, was not allowed to vote, says Ivanov's correspondent Ivan Yakovina.
Approximately the same was all the last time, so we can safely say that Vladimir Putin and his people - this is the real criminal junta that seized power in the Russian Federation.
As well as it is necessary to usurpers, they strangle freedom of speech, intrudes on territory of neighbors and force destroy any displays of discontent in the country. Right before the inauguration in Russia, another action was held to forcefully suppress the opposition. During rallies against Vladimir Putin across the country, police detained a record number of citizens - more than 1600. A significant proportion of detainees are children and adolescents.
They are now fashionable not to be a quilted jacket and go for rallies against Putin. They, like all others, were brutally beaten by policemen and some mummers in the form of Kuban Cossacks. In Russia they play the role of titles. Here it seems to me interesting one detail: anti-government rallies in Russia each time increase not quantitatively, but qualitatively. Simply put, the number of people who come has remained more or less unchanged, but the degree of confrontation with the police is gradually increasing.
There is a radicalization, and the youngest part of the protest, those same adolescents. They are no longer afraid to rush to the police and beat the riot police. This is probably very good. Without a militant and radically inclined youth, successful street protest does not happen. And the power now hands up a whole generation of such people. But, of course, it is important to understand that the street revolution in Russia can not win. Too there powerful power organs. But it can easily become a favorable background for the actions of those who want to change power among the Russian elite.
It is realistic to remove Putin only his close associates. But for this it is necessary to fulfill a number of conditions. First: Putin should be worse for the elite than without him. Second: Putin must have an understandable heir. Third: the people in the capital must support the change of power.
The first condition is fulfilled by the president himself. Every day he makes the life of his people intolerable: sanctions, taxes, handouts to the population and abuse with the West. The second condition is the successor, the legitimate heir to the throne. Also there! And Putin himself raised it. Speech, of course, about Dmitry Medvedev, who again became prime minister on May 8. He in Russia plays the role of Crown Prince in the monarchical tradition. And its observance is an extremely important element of the legitimacy of the transfer of power to the Russian Federation.
Medvedev has even been president. And can still work once, if the comrades ask. The people know him, and, in general, believes him. Terrible allergies to Medvedev no one has. And the elite, of course, will support! They remember with nostalgia the times when Medvedev traveled to the United States every year for a new iPhone. And on television then they showed not the war in Syria and Ukraine, but his favorite badminton. Well, the third condition - support for the coup from the capital of potential conspirators, we can say in your pocket.
Moscow is very tired of Putin and will support anyone who opposes him. The fact that rallies in the Russian capital are becoming increasingly fierce is a vivid confirmation of this.
Putin, however, in his inaugural speech, said that he was going to modernize, that he would give up spiritual ties and obscurantism. But I do not really believe in it: starting such reforms after 20 years of conservation of everything and everything is simply unrealistic. Therefore, I think Putin's new term will be the following: under the influence of American and European sanctions, the discontent of the elite will grow, which after a while will result in a coup attempt and the establishment of a new president, Dmitry Medvedev. But how quickly this will happen depends only on the West and its efforts to introduce new sanctions against Russian leaders.