After two turbulent trading days on the eve of the currency behaved on the Moscow Stock Exchange relatively calmly. At the end of the day, the dollar strengthened by only 6 cents, to 56.33 rubles. Euro, on the contrary, lost 9 kopecks in price and fell to 68.76 rubles. "Considering that the US dollar appreciated in all the major currencies on the world currency market, it demonstrated modest growth to the ruble exchange rate," said Alpari analyst Vladislav Antonov. Over the past month, the Russian currency has tried three times to gain a foothold below the level of 55.6 rubles for $ 1. The last time it happened on Tuesday, February 27. But every time the dollar managed to fend off. It seems that in the near future for the ruble this is the limit of opportunities, and the rate in the region of 56 rubles for $ 1 is the real value of the Russian currency. "The dollar can not go below 56 rubles, even though oil has risen by almost 50% from the lows of 2017. This, if you want, a long-term forecast, "- says" Rossiyskaya Gazeta "opinion of the investment director of IC" Peter Trust "Mikhail Altynova. Experts believe that the ruble does not allow the strengthening of the policy of the RF Ministry of Finance. He buys foreign currency in the domestic market and puts it in reserve. This weakens the rate by about three rubles - without intervention, our currency would cost 52-53 rubles for $ 1, the director of the Center for Macroeconomic Research Julia Tsepliaeva. March arrived, the support for the ruble was dispersed, which means that in the coming weeks the Russian currency will gradually decline in price. The reasons for this are several. First, the investors of the new head of the US Federal Reserve System took the step of strengthening the dollar. Hence, the ruble from this will weaken. Secondly, oil is gradually beginning to become cheaper, and the direct dependence of the exchange rate of the Russian currency on the cost of hydrocarbons has not yet been canceled. All the hope of the ruble - the fact that the state will continue to sell federal loan bonds, and foreigners - to buy them. This will insure the Russian currency from a sharp fall. In the slightly more distant future, by 2020. - The dollar will cost more than 62 rubles. This conclusion was reached by analysts from 26 banks and financial companies polled by specialists from the Higher School of Economics. Expectations of experts are more optimistic than the Ministry of Economic Development, which predicts a weakening of the rate by the end of 2020. up to 68 rubles for $ 1. The HSE believes that the Russian currency will be relatively stable for the next three years, as the domestic economy has already adapted to existing external constraints. The ruble will weaken synchronously with inflation, or about 4% a year, Izvestia notes.. Plus, one should not forget that now oil costs about $ 66 per barrel, by the end of the year it will fall in price to $ 60, and in two years the price of black gold is forecasted to drop to $ 40 per barrel. The ruble will need new support factors.