PONOMAR: Trump does not have any good ways out of this situation

04 February 2018, 05:43 | Policy 
фото с glavnoe.ua

"My remark from the 31st floor.

Of course, this is the main geopolitical news today and it will be strange if we do not discuss it:.

Trump allowed the publication of a secret report against the FBI. In the FBI report, they are accused of abuse of office by obtaining permission from the court to oversee the former adviser Trump (it's about Page, where there's nowhere to stigmatize the connection with Russia and which is in the development of Mueller. Trump accused the FBI and Justice Ministry of being engaged by the Democrats in the investigation of #RussiaGate.

Why is this geopolitical news?.

Because it brings a split into the unity within the United States in the confrontation of Russia. Because this is the second (after the dismissal of the Director of the FBI Komi), a large, tangible and practical step against the investigation of Mueller.

I've been writing for a year now that Trump is on a hot frying pan because of Mueller's investigation. And Mueller already has very, very much evidence of the connections between Trump and his team (ex-team) with Russia. And in such a situation, Trump does not have good ways out of this situation.

Scenario A.

Trump sits smoothly and is waiting for the end of the investigation.. Trump demonstrates that this is not his script.

Scenario B.

Trump resists and persists. This is also a bad scenario for Trump. As the crisis intensifies, it strengthens the split in the political elite of the United States, further sets up the US intelligence community against Trump. In this case, honest and friendly Republicans will break away from Trump. Yesterday's reaction to McCain, who had previously largely supported Trump, is very indicative - McCain said that the publication of yesterday's report is only at the mercy of Russia.

Also, this scenario may include the resignation of the FBI Director, as well as Trump's attempts to dismiss the Deputy Prosecutor General who oversees Mueller's investigation, and then attempts to sack Muller himself.

Than it can threaten?.

This may threaten the constitutional crisis in the US.

What can happen in this case?.

In this case, Trump will lose its rating in an avalanche manner. And will drag the Republicans down with them. But we do not forget that the November elections to the Congress loom large over this whole story. And if Trump is very toxic by then, the Republicans will have to solve the Trump problem themselves. Or they will fly over the Congress.

Nothing personal - only business ", - summed up Ponomarev.

Источник: glavnoe.ua