Analyzing the situation in the Persian Gulf zone, many analysts are inclined to the fact that Qatar was simply "thrown under the train".

The "Islamic" quasi-state, as experts say, may be surviving the last few days - it is likely that this project will be closed. His adepts will scatter, but a scapegoat will be needed, someone who can be appointed responsible for the IG. The question is - whom? Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, the United States, this is not according to the rank, and Qatar is on all counts, being the most successful candidate for "pulling back" on it, simultaneously turning it into a Saudi protectorate.

In addition, the Saudis need serious internal self-rehabilitation, and rehabilitation in the eyes of the international community. They are stuck in Yemen, this operation is assessed as an extremely unsuccessful. There are also questions about the efficiency of the Saudi system as a whole. They need a rematch, which can become Qatar. Moreover, since Doha has long flirted with the Persians (and, more broadly speaking, with the Shiites), there is a formal excuse for "presenting". Successful implementation of the plan to "defeat" Qatar would be a blow to Tehran, and a big plus in the Saudi piggy bank anti-Iranian struggle.

Another thing is that the sharpness and speed of all that happened for many turned out to be unexpected, although the dissatisfaction with the Qatari position had old roots. Not only did Riyadh resent the ambitions of Qatar, who imagined himself an "elephant" in the Saudi "jellied bowl" and tried to play by his own rules, so Qatar long wanted to put in place. The raw struggle between monarchies is also present, many now, in connection with the Qatari crisis, are interested in the rush of oil prices.

But the main point is that recently Qatar began to seek the possibility of a consensus with the official Damascus and Baghdad on Syrian and Iraqi soil. By the mass of markers (negotiations, consultations, etc.) it was clear that Doha wanted to "jump off" the financing of factions fighting with official authorities. In Riyadh, all this could cause an exceptionally negative reaction - in fact before that, Qatar put serious finances in the opposition. If Qatar had jumped off of funding, this burden would have lain on the Saudis, who already have enough problems.

Thus, Qatar is also beaten for inadmissible separate negotiations with parties that could take advantage of a pause in financing the opposition, experts say..

Can the crisis spill over into the military-political plane, too, is not clear yet. It would seem that Riyadh also has enough Yemen to open another front, but now no one is giving any clear forecasts.

The restraining role of Americans also looks somewhat ambiguous. On the one hand, the project of "Middle Eastern NATO" claimed this role, on the other, in fact it turns out that a serious intra-regional conflict erupted after Trump's May Middle East tour and was initiated by this visit.

It looks like it was decided to appoint the last extremist at the recent Arab-Islam-American "planning meeting" with the participation of Trump Qatar, but this version seems somewhat doubtful to some. It is possible that the situation is aggravated by anti-terrorists, although the statements of the "culprit of the triumph" seem to place points over i. The US president linked the boycott of Qatar with his recent visit to the Middle East, calling the pressure on Qatar "the beginning of the end of the horrors of terrorism". "It's nice to see that a visit to Saudi Arabia and a meeting with the king and representatives of another 50 states is already bearing fruit. They said they would take a firm stand with regard to financing extremism, and everyone pointed to Qatar. Perhaps this will be the beginning of the end of the horrors of terrorism, "- shared Trump in his" Twitter ".

Turks de facto took a progarian and pro-Iranian position, promising to make every effort to overcome the crisis, and this is not accidental. There is probably a wide field for mutual agreements on the Kurds, and on Syria, and Iraq, experts say.. It is possible to build a variety of schemes than the Persians could interest the Ottomans, and vice versa, but, in one way or another, Turkey's initially peaceful and calm tone towards the crisis around Qatar (while other regional players took an anti-Qatar attitude without hesitation) leads to Certain reflections.

Russia in this "dump" should not climb, analysts believe - it is better to wait until the dust settles down. Moreover, while it is not clear until the end, thanks to whom Qatar came under the distribution. Still, unambiguous involvement of Americans is a controversial issue: the State Department does not physically have people who are able to create strategic concepts in relation to the Middle East crisis. But if the new American administration could hardly have mastered this level of intrigue, and just like all the others, it was already before the fact, it turns out that behind everything stand the Saudis - trying, on the one hand, to play in the absence of a serious American position, on the other, On the general accumulated discontent towards Qatar.

But the question of how much American interests are met by the resolution of the current crisis over the Saudi patterns, remains open. By and large, Americans are comfortable with the mutual exhaustion of Tehran and Riyadh, when they periodically bleed each other in Syria, Iraq, Libya or Yemen. But when one of these sides becomes unreasonably stronger (for example, Riyadh, due to a serious doping vaccine in the form of Qatar, turned into a protectorate), the States may not like it. However, certain circles in the US with their interests may well support such a scenario.