The position of France and Germany on the war in the Donbass will not undergo radical changes after the change of power in these countries.

Such an opinion to the "Observer" was expressed by analyst Alexei Arestovich.

"I assure you: the policy towards Donbass will not radically change. Neither in France, nor in Germany there is such a political culture that allows you to radically change the point of view. The US is the country where you can radically change the point of view that Trump did. But you see, with what problems and creaking he succeeds, "he said..

"Does this mean that Europe will continue its good old song about compliance with the Minsk agreements?" - asked "The Observer". "Yes. Under any new leadership, it is not necessary to expect surprises there, surprises should be expected only from Moscow. And so will the same - with a greater or lesser degree of involvement, with a greater or lesser degree of rhetoric. But the political logic will be the same, because Europe's main stake is on stability. From its political field, those who can act radically have long been thrown out, "Arestovich.

The "observer" asked to predict the Kremlin's actions in this situation. "They will hold talks with the Europeans, find out certain nuances and accents, and then accept the plan. But it will not be large, not strategic, "- said the analyst.

He assured that "their goals remain unchanged: Ukraine's dependence on Russia, its non-admission to the EU and NATO". But in the Kremlin "they prefer to plan and act for a short time - up to a month. Because the situation in the world is changing - in Ukraine, in Russia, in Europe, in the Donbas, "added Mr Arestovich.

He also pointed to the problem faced by the Kremlin in the situation of "too many crises occurring simultaneously". "Russian centralization has a very strong advantage when it is necessary to solve the problem by one object, but when there are several such objects - Europe, Ukraine, North Korea, Syria - they simply do not have time to make decisions. One decision-making center does not have time to process information and respond in time, "the analyst stated..

As the "Observer" wrote, earlier Alexei Arestovich called the main reason why the Kremlin will not venture to interfere in the presidential elections in France, following the example of how he entered the United States.

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